According to the latest polls, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are neck and neck in the battleground state of Michigan.
Both parties are making strong plays to Rust Belt voters, with Michigan emerging atop the FOX News Power Rankings. According to an AARP poll conducted October 2-8, the race is extremely close, with voters divided by generation and gender.
In a complete poll that includes all third-party candidates, Harris and Trump are tied at 46% each, according to the poll. Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. still has 3% support despite endorsing Trump in August. All other third-party candidates had a combined support rating of 2%.
In a head-to-head race, Trump leads Harris by just one point, 49% to 48%.
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Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump answers questions during a Detroit Economic Club meeting Thursday, Oct. 10, 2024, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nickinson)
The survey is consistent with other AARP polls that have pointed to generational rifts.
While Harris has a double-digit lead among voters 18-34 and 65 and older, Trump has a higher approval rating among voters 35-49 and 50-64.
Voters are also divided by gender. “There is a very large gender gap of 40 percentage points among voters overall and 29 percentage points among voters 50 and older, with Ms. Harris strong among female voters and Mr. Trump strong among male voters,” the study said.
The AARP poll also found that the race for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) is fierce.
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Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at the Dort Financial Center on Friday, October 4, 2024 in Flint, Michigan.
Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin, a three-term congresswoman, leads Republican former Rep. Mike Rogers by a narrow margin of 49% to 46%.
The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
Michigan, along with Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, are three Rust Belt states that make up the Democratic Party's so-called “blue wall.”
The party held steady control of all three states for a quarter of a century, until Mr. Trump narrowly carried them and won the White House in the 2016 election.
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On Monday, October 14, 2024, Rep. Elissa Slotkin (left), the Democratic candidate for the open Michigan State Senate seat, and former Rep. Mike Rogers, the Republican candidate for the seat, debated the issue. , moderated by Alicia Smith, Chuck Stokes and Carolyn Clifford of WXYZ-TV in Southfield, Michigan. (Mandy Wright/Detroit Free Press, via AP)
Four years later, in 2020, Biden narrowly carried three states back into the Democratic column and defeated Trump.
Harris is scheduled to fly to Detroit for a campaign stop on Tuesday afternoon. During her visit to the Motor City, she will be participating in a radio town hall with the divine Charlamagne. The vice president is scheduled to return to Michigan on Friday for events in Grand Rapids, Lansing and suburban Detroit.
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President Trump visited Michigan last Thursday, where he spoke at the Detroit Economic Club and announced proposals to make interest on auto loans tax deductible and lower corporate taxes for U.S. manufacturers, and if he returned home, he would threatened to impose tariffs of up to 1,000% on cars imported from China. To the White House.
Fox Business' Michael Dorgan contributed to this update.
