Since President Biden withdrew from the race, support for Vice President Harris has increased among likely black voters, but this reflects an increase in support for former President Trump among key voting groups. It's the same as what you're doing. new research revealed.
public opinion poll, Saturday release If the presidential election were held today and the choice was between Harris and Trump, nearly 80 percent of likely black voters would vote for Harris, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll. . Opinion polls showed Harris with 78% support, compared to 74% for Biden before she withdrew.
However, Biden had the support of 90% of black voters in 2020.
Fifteen percent of respondents said they would choose Trump, an increase of six points from four years ago. About 7% said they didn't know or refused, according to the survey.
Among blacks who are likely to vote, 56% said they were “very likely” to vote, compared to 31% who said they were “very likely” and “somewhat likely.” 7% of respondents answered “I think so.” Only 1% said they were “not very likely” to vote, and 4% said they were “not likely to vote at all.”
Harris' entry into the Democratic nomination has energized young black voters. A poll of 1,083 black Americans conducted by the Washington Post and Ipsos in September found that 69% said they would “definitely vote” in November, compared to April, when Biden led the way. This was an increase from 62%.
Black voters in key battleground states also appear to be backing Harris over Trump, with 78% of registered black voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. , said that if the election were held today, they would choose the Democratic Party candidate. According to Howard Initiative poll From last month.
But another recent poll of male voters conducted by the Times and Siena newspapers found that nationally the Republican candidate has a sizable lead over Harris, 51 percent to 40 percent. was shown. Democratic strategists have also warned that she needs to increase her numbers with black and Latino men if she wants to defeat Trump, who is gaining in both races.
Former President Obama faced some backlash for his comments earlier this week when he appealed to black male voters on behalf of the Harris campaign at a rally in Pennsylvania.
“I still haven't seen the same kind of energy and turnout in every corner of my neighborhood that I saw when I was running,” Obama said, citing “reports that we're getting from campaigns and communities.” I'm doing it.
The latest Times/Siena poll was conducted between Sept. 29 and Oct. 6 among 589 black voters, including 548 who identified solely as black and 548 who identified as other races or voters. There are 41 people who identify as black in combination with their ethnicity. The margin of error for the total sample was 5.6 percentage points.
