The biggest game remaining for the Giants during this nightmare season is the Jaguars-Raiders matchup on December 22nd.
Let's understand that.
The race for the NFL's lowest-ranked team is a dubious distinction loathed by players and coaches with jobs on the line, but admired by fans hoping to get the No. 1 draft pick, as the four-week home stretch continues. It's in.
The Giants and Raiders are tied for the worst records in the NFL at 2-11, one game ahead of the six teams tied at 3-10.
The tiebreaker advantage currently goes to the Giants, who have played an easier schedule in the past, but their opponents have a slightly lower winning percentage (.538 vs. .543) when considering all 17 games. He is expected to switch to the Raiders.
So who is the worst team in the NFL? Who will be in the driver's seat with the No. 1 pick?
Will a team in need of a quarterback end up choosing between Colorado's Shedule Sanders and Miami's Cam Ward?
For the Giants
Remaining schedule (.596 total winning percentage): vs. Ravens (8-5), at. Falcons (6-7), vs. Colts (6-7), at. Eagles (11-2)
If the Eagles continue to follow the Lions through the NFC playoffs for a first-round bye and home-field advantage, he could be forced to start in Week 18.
If that's the case, the Giants' remaining schedule is considered the fifth-toughest, while the Raiders' remaining schedule ranks 23rd, according to Tankasson.
However, if the Eagles are confirmed as the NFC East champions without a bye and play against reserve players, the Giants will be rejected by their fans and have a higher chance of winning.
Hall of Fame coach and announcer John Madden once said: “You can't win a game unless you score many points.”
Well, the Giants barely score. His 14.9 points per game is the league's worst scoring average by more than two points.
The strongest part of the team, the defense, has been depleted by injuries, leaving only five true starters.
Even the top backup roster is dwindling, with the Giants now starting players with health issues (Jordon Riley), practice squad (Elijah Garcia), and midweek acquisitions (Corey Darden). is thrown into the fire.
Like the Raiders, this will be the Giants' third starting QB.
Drew Lock's career passer rating, success rate, and touchdown-to-interception ratio are all worse than his Raiders counterpart Desmond Ridder, despite the larger sample size.
On the analytical side, the Giants rank as follows:
l Ranked 31st out of 32 teams in ESPN's Football Power Index. It is designed to measure a team's true strength on a net point scale (expected point difference against an average opponent on a neutral field).
l Ranked 28th in net EPA (expected added points) per play.
l Ranked 29th in Simple Rating System. Created by Pro Football Reference to measure the quality of a team compared to the average.
l Ranked #28 in Weighted DVOA on FTNFantasy.com. This is a widely accepted measure of a team's efficiency, generated by comparing the success of every play to the league average based on situation and opponent. More emphasis is placed on recent games.
for the raiders
Remaining schedule (.423 total winning percentage): vs. Falcons (6-7), vs. Jaguars (3-10), at. Saints (5-8), vs. Chargers (8-5)
Let's pick up where the Giants' lawsuit ended.
The Raiders rank worse than the Giants in two of these four metrics. He ranks 29th in net EPA per play and 31st in the simple rating system.
Football Power Index (25th) and Weighted DVOA (27th) favor the Raiders.
Since Oct. 1, during the longest nine-game losing streak in NFL history, the Raiders have played just three games with a one-score difference, but two of those games have been against the rival Chiefs. Regardless, they win close games every week.
This puts the Raiders in 31st place with a -125 goal differential.
While the Giants can't score, the Raiders' bigger problems are keeping points off the board (No. 29 scoring defense) and ball safety (league-worst -17 turnover margin).
Could it get any better? The Raiders played last week without nine of their 22 Opening Day starters.
Sure, that Jaguars game looks like a coin toss that could push the Raiders within three wins and leave the Giants alone…but in terms of being in control of the game from start to finish, the Raiders game The winning probability is the worst. According to ESPN's FPI.
other threats
Of the six teams at 3-10, the Patriots have the third-hardest remaining schedule and have a chance to win the final tiebreaker, considering their opponent's winning percentage is elusive at .462 in 17 games. It stands out in one way.
Even with rapidly improving rookie quarterback Drake Maye, two games against the Bills (11-2), a visit with the Cardinals (6-7), and a home game against the Chargers (8-5) ), where will their victory come from?
If the Chiefs already have the No. 1 seed in the AFC, it's probably the Bills in Week 18.
The Jaguars (Mac Jones) and Browns (Jamis Winston) are starting backup QBs.
The Browns rank last in total DVOA.
The Panthers rank last in FPI and EPA per play and have the worst point differential, but seem to be improving week by week with quarterback Bryce Young coming off the bench. .
The Titans face the possibility of a divided locker room as the offense loosens up the defense.
The Jets are the Jets, and they are constantly inventing new ways to break fourth-quarter leads.
