Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by two points nationally, the same margin of lead he held over President Joe Biden before the debate, according to a McLaughlin and Associates poll released Wednesday.
poll i got you Among 1,000 likely voters, Trump has 47% support to Harris’ 45%. Eight percent of respondents are undecided. Trump’s two-point lead is Same A June poll by McLaughlin & Associates, conducted ahead of the fateful debate that sealed the end of Biden’s political career, had Biden leading by that margin.
National General Education 2024:
Trump 47% (+2)
Harris 45%
.
Trump 42% (+1)
Harris 41%
Kennedy 8%
West 1%
Stein 1%
Oliver 1%McLoughlin & Associates, 1,000 LV, 7/23-29https://t.co/TwQMBuQvAF
— Politics Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 31, 2024
The poll, conducted June 18-24, 2024, showed Trump leading Biden 46 percent to 44 percent, with a further 10 percent undecided. Obviously, a lot has happened since then.
What was that? After a week of rest and preparation, Biden coughs, stumbles and rambles his way through debate
Courtesy of CNN Presidential Debate
After nearly being assassinated, Trump picked Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) as his running mate at a spirited Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. During that same polling interval, Democratic Party officials, donors and Hollywood elites removed Biden as the presumptive favorite after his dismal debate performances endangered not only his own reelection but those of lower-ranking Democrats as well. The left and the media touted Harris.
In other words, the poll shows Democrats are back to where they were before the debates, when Biden’s campaign invited the president to debate in June — an unprecedented move for a sitting president and a sign of just how dire their prospects were at the time.
In this latest poll, 38% of Trump supporters say they will definitely support Trump, 6% say they will probably support Trump, and another 3% say they will lean toward Trump. Similarly, 38% of Harris supporters say they will definitely vote for Harris, 4% say they will probably support Harris, and 3% say they will lean toward Harris.
Trump and Harris are neck and neck among independents, at 41 percent and 40 percent, respectively. Just under one in five independents are undecided.
Trump maintains an advantage over Harris among more established candidates, including independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. The 45th president has 42% approval rating, compared to Harris’ 41%. Kennedy garners 8% of the vote, while Libertarian Chase Oliver, Green Party’s Jill Stein and independent Cornel West are tied at 1%.
The results for the larger field are consistent with a June poll by McLaughlin & Associates, though Trump’s lead has since narrowed by just one percentage point. Trump received 39% of the vote, Biden 37% and Kennedy 10%. West and Stein were tied at 2%, Oliver 1% and 9% were undecided.
The latest survey was conducted from July 23 to 29, 2024. No margin of error was specified.
