While much should be noted given the survey’s origins, a prominent Democratic pollster has argued that Vice President Kamala Harris has an advantage among Hispanic voters in battleground states.
Somos, which describes itself as a “Latino-led, Latino-focused organization dedicated to empowering hard-working Latinos year-round to participate in our nation’s democracy by taking action in their communities,” commissioned BSP Research to conduct the survey of 800 Hispanic voters in seven key states and released it to Left Voters on Monday. New Republicwhich predictably portrays group efforts as working.
The poll found that Harris leads 55% to 37% among voters in that age group in seven key battleground states: Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia and North Carolina.
The pollster said the data showed Harris had a “very large lead among Hispanics” and that the poll included a “sufficient sample size to confidently estimate the two-party vote in states that will actually decide the outcome of the election.”
“Harris has strengthened and solidified her support,” said Melissa Morales, president and founder of Somos PAC.
Additionally, polls suggest Harris could boost voter turnout, with 34% of Latinos willing to vote with her, while 10% are not very interested in participating in the November election.
Morales argues that former President Donald Trump has peaked at “very low favorability within the Latino community” and that his approval rating will continue to fall “the more we remind them of who he really is.”
Polls show that compared with Trump, Harris enjoys higher approval ratings among Hispanic voters, leading her by 21 points among Hispanic men under 30 (55% to 34%) and 70% approving of her among women under the same age, while 23% disapproving. Her approval rating among Hispanics in Nevada is 69% and in Arizona, one of the places hardest hit by Biden’s border policies, is 54%.
On the border, polls suggest that Harris’ immigration policy, in her words, “should not ignore past policies.”
When asked about combining increased border security with amnesty for illegal immigrants (a position currently supported by the “border czar”), 65% of respondents viewed Harris more favorably.
Somos PAC is putting money into the campaign already getting its message across. NBC News During a presidential election cycle that was a very different landscape, as reported in the spring, the group had pledged to spend $57 million in eight battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Texas and Wisconsin. Significantly, half of that spending would go to Nevada and Arizona.
Meanwhile, Harris’ campaign said her “2020 winning coalition is vibrant,” with Hispanics making up a big part of it.
“Since the VP began her campaign, we have seen historic enthusiasm from key segments of the Democratic base: Black voters, Latino voters, AANHPI voters, women and young voters,” Harris’ battleground states director Dan Kanninen argued in a weekend memo.
The Trump campaign has focused more on targeting Hispanic voters against President Biden than against Harris, buying ads in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Pennsylvania in July.
The Trump campaign said at the time that it was confident in its ability to undermine Democratic support from the Hispanic community, which represents more than 36 million voters, or about 15% of the electorate. Pew Research CenterPolls have reported that three in five Latino voters are dissatisfied with Biden.
But with the emergence of new Democratic candidates, those on the left expect the race to be realigned.
