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Long Covid may be nothing unique in the future – but its effects today are still very real | Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz

LCOVID-19 is one of the most controversial topics remaining regarding the pandemic. Depending on who you ask, it’s either a current, real threat to the health of the planet, or a relatively minor problem that should receive little attention in the future. It’s hard to weigh in on this topic without a passionate advocate challenging what you say. This applies to quite a few conversations we’ve had over the course of the pandemic.

Recent research in Queensland has added further discord to this already complex space.of press release About this study: A large-scale observational study found that when the Omicron variant was prevalent, people who tested positive for COVID-19 were less likely to test negative for COVID-19 than those who tested negative for COVID-19 when the Omicron variant was prevalent. They were less likely than adults to report ongoing symptoms or serious problems with daily life. A person who has tested positive for influenza.This is as follows similar previous work They were done by the same team and had almost identical results. Dr John Gerrard, one of the paper’s authors and Queensland’s chief health officer, said the findings called into question the entire conceptualization of long-term coronavirus, adding: Maybe it’s time to stop using such terms.”

This results in Number of articles The reason we argue that the long-lasting coronavirus is causing unnecessary fear is because a little difference Symptoms between long-term symptoms caused by Covid-19 and other common viral infections.

The first problem here is that it’s hard to know what to make of the research. The results reported are initial news releases about presentations such as: about to happen At the European Congress of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases in April. In other words, we have no idea how robust this paper is or how useful the data will be. The fact that so much news is being reported about this unpublished, unpublished discovery is in itself a kind of problem.

However, reporting on these findings is consistent with various other papers published on Covid-19 over the past few years. We know that the risks of prolonged COVID-19 infection are: strongly related to how serious is it The initial infection. Long-term coronavirus disease (Covid-19) was fairly common in 2020, when Covid-19 was many times more of a problem than the flu, but vaccination campaigns After successes, effective new drugs, and large-scale infections, the risk of contracting COVID-19 has decreased significantly.The risk of the new coronavirus infection being prolonged is now somewhere around That frequency is 10 times lower than in 2020. Considering the decline in the severity of coronavirus disease (Covid-19), it is unlikely that the proportion of long-lasting symptoms of coronavirus disease (Covid-19) and influenza will be similar in 2024. . As I have said so far, many yearsmuch of it depends on how we define long Covid and how we know which long-term symptoms are actually caused by Covid-19.

In other words, you can reasonably argue that Dr. Gerrard is right. But the problem is that many people were infected in 2020 and 2021, before a vaccine or treatments to reduce the severity of the disease were developed. There is no doubt that the vast majority of people are still suffering from severe problems from the initial coronavirus infection, many years after they first became ill.Australia does not have a national estimate of the number, but data from the UK suggests that approximately 0.5% of the country You may fall into this group. Not a huge percentage, but still a lot of people. A similar rate in Australia would mean around 100,000 Australians are suffering as well. These people are left with little hope. That’s because we still don’t understand why they are sick with COVID-19 for so long, and there are no effective interventions to treat the disease.

And herein lies the problem with the long debate about Covid. Two separate conversations are going on at the same time. We can talk about a future that looks a little brighter. For a long time, the infection rate of coronaviruses has fallen significantly, and people who get infected with coronavirus now are about as likely to experience severe and long-term problems as people who got the flu in 2019. It is high. However, we must also acknowledge that there are many people who were seriously injured by COVID-19 during the early stages of the pandemic and may never recover their health.

In the future, there may be nothing special about long-term COVID-19 infections – even without this new report, the risk of COVID-19 per infection is currently about the same as influenza. The evidence for equivalence is strong – and perhaps we need to start talking more about post-viral conditions. Rather than focusing solely on symptoms caused by Covid-19, we put them in this category. But if we do so, it is important that we do not leave behind the many people still suffering from the seemingly endless problems caused by COVID-19 several years ago.

Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz is an epidemiologist in Sydney’s west who studies chronic disease, with a particular focus on the social determinants that control our health.

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