President Donald Trump’s new budget plan has updated Medicaid job requirements and spending cuts could potentially reduce health insurance for millions of Americans.
With the GOP-led House of Representatives moving forward with budget resolutions this month, the main committee is currently tasked with writing legislation that includes changes to Medicaid eligibility and funding sweep.
Why is it important?
Approximately 80 million Americans rely on Medicaid for health insurance.
Recent analysis from Focus on budget and policy priorities (CBPP) estimates that over 44% of all Medicaid enrollees are at risk of losing coverage under the expanded work requirements policy currently being considered.
He says the expansion of Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act has seen the most sharpest impact.
What do you know
In a new report from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, analysts found that at least 10,000 residents will lose Medicaid coverage in all states that expanded Medicaid during the coronavirus pandemic if new job requirements are passed.
Compensation losses are highest in most states, such as California (1-1.2 million) and New York (743,000-846,000). In some other states, over 100,000 people will find themselves without reporting. That list includes Arizona, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Washington.
The top five states at the most risk of Medicaid compensation loss are California, New York, Pennsylvania and North Carolina. This has been reportedly caused by a part of the population size.
Research from Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) indicates that 92% of Medicaid-qualified adults are already working or have received valid exemptions due to caregiving, disability, or education.
Management costs are another concern. The Georgia exemption-based “Pathways” Medicaid program launched in 2023 with similar requirements costs $40 million, with the bulk heading towards administrative costs rather than healthcare services. KFF Health News.
According to American Center for Progress12 states (including Arizona, Indiana, Montana and New Hampshire) have “triggering laws” that require Medicaid expansion to be rolled back if federal contributions fall below 90%. This change alone could eliminate compensation for more than 3.6 million people.
The new budget, passed by House Republicans, will not cut Medicaid completely or enforce work requirements, but will direct the Energy and Commerce Committee to cut $880 billion over the next decade.
With Medicaid and Medicare a substantial portion of the committee’s funding allocated, financial experts and Democrats expect Medicaid to see major changes under the new budget.
“Republicans are putting snaps in Medicaid and the chopping block to reward billionaire donors and large corporations with tax cuts,” wrote Nancy Pelosi, a US representative in California and former House Speaker of the House of Representatives, wrote X.
But Trump has consistently said Medicaid, Medicare and Social Security will be spared from cutting backs under his administration.
In an interview with Maria Bartiromo On from Fox News Sunday morning future In March, Trump doubled, saying, “I’m not going to touch Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid.”
“We’re going to get scams from there… Everyone wants us to commit scams… We’re experiencing enormous growth.”

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What people are saying
Smile Insurance CEO and Medicare expert Chris Fong said Newsweek: “Based on the current political situation, we are likely to see the requirements for Medicaid individual work. Our hope is that there will be some exceptions due to disability levels, but there is no indication that disability levels will be considered when determining Medicaid eligibility.”
Kevin Thompson, CEO and host of 9i Capital Group 9 Innings Podcast said Newsweek: “It is strong that federal labor requirements will be implemented in pursuit of ways Congress can offset the costs of new tax bills. Unfortunately, it could cost programs like Medicaid. The federal government is promoting work requirements and blocking grants.
Alex Bine, a financial literacy instructor at the University of Tennessee, Martin, Newsweek: “Many people may think that work requirements for Medicaid benefits are not necessarily bad, but the reality is that many Medicaid recipients are already working in some capacity.
“And while the proposal leaves room for people who cannot work for personal health issues or care for their families, the more documents and procedures added to the process of qualifying for benefits, the fewer people will either not be aware of those additional tasks or receive them because they are unable to complete those additional tasks.”
What’s next?
The House Energy and Commerce Committee is expected to record standards for Medicaid-related laws in early May. GOP lawmakers have indicated that they will include work requirements as a key component of the settlement bill they want to pass this summer.
However, experts warn that removing Medicaid from low-income individuals and families could delay diagnosis and destabilize hospitals, particularly in rural areas.
“Work requirements have no advantage,” wrote CBPP analysts Gideon Lukens and Elizabeth Zhang February Report. “They strip people with low incomes (most of them already meet or exempt requirements) of their health insurance, leading to care gaps in order to undermine their health and financial security and make it difficult to find or maintain jobs.”

