Masters 2024: All 89 players ranked by their chances to win Green Jacket

Despite having the smallest field of the four major tournaments, the Masters Tournament never disappoints. But to win the glorious green jacket at Augusta National, you’ll have to find plenty of green within regulation.

Augusta is a second-shot golf course, prioritizing hitting the ball over other aspects of the game. Driving and putting are essential, but good iron play is most important. You have to be in a prime spot on the green to have a chance, but a mistake in the wrong spot could mean double bogey.

“If you look back at Tiger’s wins, I think every year he won he was No. 1 in green hits,” ESPN’s Andy North said on a recent call with the media.

“When you look at a guy like Scottie Scheffler, he’s such a good iron player that it’s hard to imagine he doesn’t have a chance to win at Augusta.”

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Knowing this information, the Playing Through team created a list of all 88 players for this year’s Masters based on their chances of winning.

1. Scotty Scheffler

No one on the planet is playing better than Scotty Scheffler right now. His tee-to-green metrics are so good that if he continues to use his putter half-heartedly, he will win his second Masters.

2. Jon Rahm

Jon Rahm comes in as the defending Masters champion and it’s clear he has a match to win again at Augusta. Although he hasn’t played much this year due to LIV Golf’s limited schedule, Rahm is as talented as anyone in the world.

3. Xander Schauffele

Xander Schauffele has played well in his past five appearances at Augusta, with the exception of missing out on qualifying for the 2022 Masters. He is set to make big strides and ranks second in strokes gained on tour overall. Schauffele has a match to win.

4. Wyndham Clark

Windham Clark has a great chance to become the first rookie to win the Masters since Fuzzy Zoller last won in 1979. He has no glaring weaknesses and has a solid putter. A win at Augusta would cement his incredible 12-month run.

5. Rory McIlroy

Rory McIlroy hasn’t finished in the top 10 since winning the Hero Dubai Desert Classic in January. Still, from tee to green, he’s as good as anyone. But as Scott Van Pelt told us earlier this week, if you throw in a bunch of 30-footers, you’ll win. However, that’s a big story.

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6. Patrick Cantlay

People forget that Patrick Cantlay held the lead late Sunday in 2019. Like the other players listed here, he has no flaws in his game, but he has yet to win a major. However, in 2023, it will be a bit of a struggle.

7. Ludwig Oberg

Finally, Ludwig Oberg will compete in a major championship. Like Clark, he has a great chance to wear the green jacket as a rookie. The young Swede is a superstar on the rise.

8. Joaquin Niemann

Joaquin Niemann won the Australian Open in December and contributed to his victory at Mayakoba in February with a 59. A month later, he won the LIV Golf event in Saudi Arabia. In addition to that, Niemann recorded his three top finishes at the Oman, Dubai and Australian PGAs, which helped him earn a special invitation to Augusta. He also leads LIV Golf in strokes gained so far this season.

9. Brooks Koepka

No player has played better in the majors over the past decade than Brooks Koepka. No one would be surprised if “Big Bad Brooks” silenced the demons of yesteryear and forced Jon Rahm to hang his green jacket in the butler’s cabin.

10. Jordan Spieth

This year’s Masters will be Jordan Spieth’s 11th appearance. In his past 10 starts, Spieth has only finished outside the top 20 three times, including a tie for 21st in 2019. In 2015, he finished in the top five five times and won once. Texans love this golf course.

11. Max Homa

Max Homa has been underperforming at Augusta National, which is surprising considering he is a solid putter and ball striker. However, 2024 has not been his best performance thus far. His best finish this year was a tie for 8th at Bay Hill.

12. Hideki Matsuyama

We all saw what Hideki Matsuyama can do at the Genesis Invitational on Sunday. He’s an otherworldly talent and he’s won Augusta National before, so why can’t he win again? His last four starts have been a win, a tie for 12th, a tie for 6th, and a tie for 7th.

13. Brian Harman

Brian Harman proved to be a fearless killer for Royal Liverpool last year. Even though he missed his last two appearances at Augusta, Herman is a great putter and iron player. Additionally, left-handers tend to play better at the Masters.

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14. Tony Finau

The only time Tony Finau missed the cut this year was at the Valspar Championship, where he stumbled at Innisbrook and bounced back to tie for second at Houston. Finau has never missed an Augusta National weekend and has finished in the top 10 three times in six starts.

15. Viktor Hovland

Viktor Hovland has not been able to capture the magic he discovered when winning the BMW Championship and Tour Championship in August 2023. He ranks 106th in strokes gained this season, and he’s getting closer to the greens and his short game is escaping him. Still, he has incredible talent and can fight even without the best.

16. Matt Fitzpatrick

Matt Fitzpatrick has struggled with inconsistency so far this season, but his putting and shot-making abilities always give the Englishman a solid chance. Plus, he looks curled up in form. Fitzpatrick has finished tied for fifth and tied for 10th in his past two starts.

17. Saheeth Seegala

Saheth Segala has had a solid year so far, his best finish being second place at Sentry. He finished ninth in his Masters debut a year ago and chipped in for birdie on No. 16 in Sunday’s final round. Sound familiar?

18. Cameron Young

After missing his first Masters appearance in 2022, Cameron Young tied for seventh in 2023. The Bomber from Westchester is also a great ball striker, but the putts have been giving him trouble this season. Still, he has four top-20 finishes, including a solo second place at the Valspar Championship.

19. Shane Lowry

Shane Lowry has finished 25th or worse in his past four starts at Augusta. The Irishman is a great ball striker, so keep an eye out to see if he can roll the putter well. He ranks third on the PGA Tour in strokes gained approaching the green.

20. Collin Morikawa

Two-time major champion Collin Morikawa looked like a shell of his 2024 self. Still, he has three top-20 finishes and his ball-striking ability cannot be ignored. But if your putter stays cold, your chances of success at Augusta are slim.

21. Dustin Johnson

Dustin Johnson broke records at the 2020 Masters and is arguably one of the best players in the world during his playing days. The question is whether he will ever reach the peak of his powers. If that happens, Johnson will be in contention and has a good chance of winning his second green jacket.

22. Cameron Smith

Some would argue that Cameron Smith is the best putter on the planet. This usually refers to the Augusta His National, which features some of the fastest and most undulating greens in the world. The Australian has finished in the top 10 three times in the past four years, including a tie for second in 2020.

Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

23. Bryson DeChambeau

Big-swinging Bryson DeChambeau once called Augusta National a par 67. That may be true in his mind, but it will take a good week on the green to test that idea. Still, the 2020 U.S. Open champion has the game to get the job done.

24. Sam Burns

U.S. Ryder Cup captain Zach Johnson named Sam Burns to his team for his putting ability, which should come in handy at Augusta National. He had four consecutive top-10 finishes in late January and February, but has yet to regain his form.

25. Tyrrell Hutton

Tyrrell Hutton’s best finish at Augusta National was a tie for 18th in 2021. However, he has extensive experience in golf’s hallowed grounds and has the ability to hit the ball with success. If Hatton can stay mentally sharp, he can be there until the end.

From 26 to 88:

26. Justin Thomas

27. Tommy Fleetwood

28. Russell Henry

29. Corey Connors

30. Kim Si Woo

31. Eric Cole

32. Adam Scott

33. Harris English

34. Jason Day

35. Tom Kim

36. Phil Mickelson

Photo credit: Ross Kinnaird/Getty Images

37. Akshay Bhatia

38. Taylor Moore

39. Nick Taylor

40. Lee Min Woo

41. Emiliano Grillo

42. Mathieu Pabon

43. Ahn Byung-hoon

44. Adrian Mellonk

45. Denny McCarthy

46. ​​Im Sung Jae

47. Stefan Jaeger

48.JT Poston

49. Will Zalatoris

50. Keegan Bradley

51. Rickie Fowler

52. Lucas Glover

53. Adam Hadwin

54. Nikolai Huygaard

55. Chris Kirk

56. Patrick Reed

57. Adam Schenk

58. Sepp Straka

59. Eric van Rooyen

60.Ryan Fox

61. Cart Kitayama

62. Austin Eckrot

63. Sergio Garcia

64. Ryo Hisatsune

65. Justin Rose

66. Peter Malnati

67. Zach Johnson

68. Lee Hodges

69. Tiger Woods

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70. Cameron Davis

71. Luke List

72. Camilo Villegas

73. Gary Woodland

74. Grayson Murray

75. Jake Knapp

76. Bubba Watson

77. Nick Dunlap

78. Christ Lamprecht (A)

79. Zach Johnson

80. Neil Shipley (A)

81. Charles Schwartzel

82.Danny Willett

83. Jasper Stubbs (A)

84. Stewart Hagestad (A)

85. Mike Weir

86.Vijay Singh

87. Santiago de la Fuente (A)

88. Jose Maria Olazabal

89. Fred Couple

Jack Mirko is a golf staff writer for SB Nation’s Playing Through.Be sure to check it out @_PlayingThrough Cover more golf. You can follow him on Twitter @jack_milko In the same way.