Vice President Kamala Harris' first major campaign decision, choosing Minnesota Governor Tim Walz over Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as her running mate, backfired badly on Jewish voters. This was revealed in an exit poll obtained exclusively by The Post.
According to a study conducted by the Honan Strategic Group of the Teach Coalition, an affiliate of the Education Coalition, the Harris-Waltz ticket is more likely to attract Jewish voters in Pennsylvania than the Republican ticket of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. He won 7 points (48% to 41%) among voters. Jewish Orthodox Union.
But 53% of Jewish voters said they would have pulled the lever quickly if Mr. Shapiro had been No. 2, while Trump-Vance's approval rating would have fallen to 38%.
The results suggest that Harris might have come closer or even won in Pennsylvania (which she lost to Trump by 2.1 percentage points) and other battleground states had she chosen the popular Shapiro. are. He was removed as a vice presidential candidate because of his “anti-Semitic campaign.”
In fact, polls show defeated Democratic Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey outperforms Harris Walz among Jewish voters, with 50% supporting the three-term incumbent and 40% supporting Republican Sen. David Casey. – Responded that they support McCormick.
Harris also failed to get more than 50% of the vote among Jewish voters in the 1st and 4th Congressional Districts on Long Island, New York, and the 17th, 18th, 19th, and 22nd Districts in the Hudson Valley and Upstate. . This is a stunning reversal in a constituency that was considered reliable. Democratic Party District.
Across six districts, Trump and the Republican House candidates received 41% of the Jewish vote, compared to 48% for Harris Walz. Harris led Trump among Jews by more than half, according to a summer poll, 56% to 37%. In the swing district.
But if Ms. Shapiro had won, Ms. Harris would have defeated Mr. Trump by 12 points (51% to 39%) in six battleground states, the poll showed.
“In a post-October 7 world, the Jewish community's vote is more important than ever,” said Maury Litwak, founder and CEO of Teach Coalition.
“This is definitely an erosion of Jewish voters into the Democratic Party,” he added. “What’s driving this is the Jewish community’s sentiment towards anti-Semitism.
“The far left is based on anti-Israel activities. They have influence within the Democratic Party,” Litwak explained. “This is a wake-up call for New York Democrats.”
Jewish votes were unevenly distributed within the Empire State.
In the Lower Hudson Valley's 17th Congressional District, 55% of Jews said they voted to re-elect freshman Republican Rep. Mike Lawler, but only 31% voted for Democrat Mondaire Jones. It was.
But in the neighboring 18th District, 57% of Jewish voters supported Democratic incumbent Rep. Pat Ryan, while only 34% supported Republican challenger Alison Esposito.
About half of Jewish voters in New York state and 43% of Jewish voters in Pennsylvania said rising anti-Semitism had a “significant impact” on their vote, while 80% of Jewish voters in both states % said it was important to be politically active and remain active. Local, municipal and state races over the next two years.
The Honan Group/Teach Coalition survey conducted 681 exit poll interviews on Election Day. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.75 percentage points.
