Prop betting is not what it used to be.
For years, it was an anomaly. It was special. It was reserved for the most important games in American sports.
Now, you can find it on Tuesday night’s tilt between the Pistons and Wizards. This is your ticket to Section 347 of MetLife Stadium, where you can watch bands that used to play six feet away in Irving Plaza.
Still, the music sounds good. Have fun. There are memories to be made.
Once again, I will do my best to help you.
Below is a sample of my favorite prop bets available for the Super Bowl (prices vary by sportsbook).
kick off
National anthem 90.5 seconds or more (+102)
Since 1999, only one Super Bowl performer has sang the national anthem in less than 91 seconds (Billy Joel at 90 seconds). Don’t pay too much attention to Reba McIntyre’s performance in her 1997 World Series (83 seconds). The 68-year-old singer will likely never perform on a stage like this again.
Coin toss (+100, DraftKings)
The Tails have won seven of the last 10 Super Bowl tosses. Momentum is your friend.
Opening kickoff wasn’t a touchback (+250, BetMGM)
The odds are against us, but this is a live dog considering the 49ers rank 25th in the league in touchback percentage (62.3).
first touchdown scorer
First touchdown scorer jersey number 22.5 or higher (-110, FanDuel)
This team has the NFL’s touchdown leader (Christian McCaffrey), the Chiefs’ first touchdown scorer and postseason leader (Travis Kelce), and the 49ers’ co-leader with McCaffrey in red zone targets. (George Kittle). .
Deebo Samuel (+950, FanDuel)
Below 22.5, the most explosive offensive weapons in the game pose the greatest threat. If Kyle Shanahan empties the playbook, Samuel, who has seven receiving touchdowns and five rushing touchdowns this season, will be rewarded.
Laci Rice (10/1, Caesars)
If San Francisco focuses too much on Kelce, Patrick Mahomes will likely look for the team’s new top wideout. The Chiefs’ first touchdowns this season have come via passes in 15 of 19 games, and Rice has scored at least nine touchdowns in seven of the past nine games.
Noah Gray (+5500, DraftKings)
Again, if Kelce gets too much attention, Mahomes will look elsewhere. Perhaps it’s because of Gray, who has seen significant playing time in Kansas City’s two-tight end set and has eight targets and two attempts inside the 10-yard line this postseason over the past two games. It’s probably the direction.
passing
Mahomes, less than 262.5 passing yards (-115, Caesars)
The two-time Super Bowl MVP hasn’t topped that mark in five straight games. His status as the best player in the sport further fuels this idea, ignoring how important the ground game is to the Chiefs’ resurgence. In last year’s win over the Eagles, Mahomes threw for 182 yards.
Mahomes, less than 0.5 interceptions (-115, Caesars)
Without Tyreek Hill, he may not be as explosive, but he will be efficient. Mahomes hasn’t recorded an interception in six straight postseason games.
Brock Purdy, less than 248.5 passing yards (-110, BetMGM)
The 49ers quarterback has failed to clear a passing yardage prop in five straight games. The Chiefs’ defense has held two of the league’s top passers (Josh Allen, Tua Tagovailoa) to less than 200 yards in the postseason, and Shanahan is unlikely to be a burden to San Francisco’s title hopes.
Christian McCaffrey throws a pass (+1100)
The star running back has attempted four passes in his career, including one for a 34-yard touchdown last season. If the Chiefs get their hopes up in the box, Shanahan could pull off a surprise like the Philadelphia Special.
Hurry/Receive/Other
Mahomes over 4.5 rushing attempts (-110)
He has attempted six runs in each of the past two games. Don’t forget to kneel.
Purdy, 12.5+ rushing yards (-110)
Purdy continues to scramble due to Kansas City’s strong pass rush. In some cases, it can backfire. Purdy ran for 48 yards in the NFC Championship and 14 yards in the NFC Division championship against the Packers. This season, the quarterback averaged 20.1 yards per game against the Chiefs.
Kelce, 72.5+ yards receiving (-110)
Don’t overthink this. After an underwhelming regular season, Mahomes’ favorite target averaged 87.3 yards receiving in the postseason.
Jake Moody misses field goal (+250)
The rookie kicker missed a field goal in three consecutive games. Luckily, there’s no pressure here.
potpourri
Lil Jon performs at halftime show with Usher (-200)
I don’t like Juice, but it’s about as close to rock as you can get for this price, considering Lil Jon played a key role in Usher’s most popular song, “Yeah!” (She has over 1.1 billion plays on Spotify). Also throw a dart at will.i.am (+1200), who performed “OMG” with Usher at Super Bowl XLV.
Puppy Bowl winning scorer
Burke Purdy (+3300) goes first. I haven’t seen enough film to justify the price tag for Patrick Mahomes (+600).
Total time Taylor Swift is shown live (28.5 seconds or more)
It doesn’t look like rock. Swift played just 24 seconds in Buffalo, but that was sandwiched between 66 seconds the week before and 32 seconds at the AFC Championship. A large audience of casual soccer fans will get what they want.
Will Kelce and Swift be shown kissing on the field?
Yes (-200) is significantly worse than the Chiefs’ money line (+110). If you want the 49ers to win, bet on no kissing on the field (+150) for virtually the best San Francisco money line play.
Ready to start betting on the 2024 Super Bowl?
super bowl mvp
Running back (+900)
Betting by position provides a great opportunity to acquire the most valuable non-quarterback (McCaffrey) for more than double the solo price (+425). There will be games in this century where running backs will take home the honors. Considering the 49ers’ championship status, McCaffrey’s all-around production, and the questions surrounding Purdy, there may not be a more favorable spot.
Travis Kelce (+1200)
If you like Kansas City, there’s no point betting on Mahomes (+125). Kelce has scored 17 touchdowns in his last 15 playoff games, including two touchdowns against Buffalo in the AFC divisional round. Plus, you’ve probably heard that there’s a fix thanks to Swift. It’s amazing how the NFL convinced Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Bills kicker and their teammates to go along with its plan, crushing their long-held dreams.
Deebo Samuel (+2000)
The ultimate wild card has the potential to make multiple explosive plays.
parlay of the same game
Chiefs Money Line/Total Score Under 47.5/McCaffrey 90+ Yards Rushing/Isaiah Pacheco 80+ Yards Rushing (+1928)
Or combine any of the plays above. Or you can add your own twist. What could go wrong?
