New Mexico could very well be a dark horse this election cycle, as trends look favorable for former President Donald Trump.
New Mexico doesn't get as much Republican attention as the major battleground states, but it could actually be affected for a variety of reasons.
According to the latest poll released by KA Consulting, Mr. Trump is trailing Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris by just 3 points, with Mr. Harris' approval rating at 46% and Ms. Harris' approval rating at 49%. Note that the 3-point difference is within the survey's +/- 4% margin of error, effectively indicating a tie.
Additionally, the survey showed that inflation and the economy are the top issues, selected by 47%, followed by immigration and border security, which was chosen by 43%. Both of these issues are central to Trump's campaign and, coincidentally, his strong suit. It's also consistent with the reality that New Mexico is a border state with a large Hispanic population, and that Trump has historically performed well among Hispanic voters, as recent surveys show. For example, a recent study conducted in Florida found that showed Trump has a double-digit lead over Harris among Hispanic voters, 55% to Harris' 41%.
A recent NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll shows that Trump continues to close the gap among voters in this group, with Harris' approval rating at 54% to Trump's 40%. NBC News put Do it like this:
Overall, the poll shows that Democratic presidential nominee Harris has some support among Latinos, with key voters more likely than the general electorate to cite the economy and rising costs of living as their top priorities. It shows that you are losing it.
This is important because these surveys show that Trump received just 19% of the Latino vote in 2016, increasing to 27% in 2020.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s decision to withdraw from the race and endorse Trump also helps the former president in New Mexico, where he had 8% support. It should be. Additionally, the nonprofit Election Freedom Inc. runs what is described as an “aggressive seven-figure organization.” “An ad campaign that highlights major policy failures,” Harris said.
All of this coincides with a recent poll by Redfield & Wilton Strategies. showing Harris up by just 4 in New Mexico:
last week, albuquerque journal reported “High turnout” in terms of early voting in the state. At the time, the paper said, “As of Tuesday, about 4.6% of registered Republicans had already voted in this year's general election, compared to about 4.2% of registered Democrats.” Reported.
New Mexico hasn't turned red in 20 years, since 2004. According to official results, President Trump lost The state saw a decline of 8.3% in 2016 and 10.8% in 2020. However, things could be very different this year.
Mr. Trump announced early on that he planned to develop a strategy for states like New Mexico, knowing that there was a good chance it would be up for grabs. .
“The other thing I'm going to do, and it might be a stupid thing to do, is I'm going to play hard for New York, I'm going to play hard for New Jersey, Virginia. We're going to play hard for Virginia, we're going to play hard for Virginia. It's a tough fight for New Mexico and Minnesota, which we haven't won in a long time,” Trump told Breitbart. told the news.
