Player props for Ryan Weathers, Evan Carter

It’s an MLB holiday day for several teams, with six of Wednesday’s 14 games scheduled for the afternoon.

We’re coming off a scorching week in which both MLB Best Bets home run candidates hit last Wednesday.

It doesn’t always work out, but this week we had to turn things around by getting another home run batter at great odds.

MLB Wednesday’s best bets

Ryan Weathers has less than 4.5 strikeouts (PrizePicks)

This new Yankees team has a total of 180 players from last season. Instead of a lineup full of hitters who can strike out or hit deep, there is much more diversity overall.

The additions of left-handed hitters Juan Soto and Alex Verdugo have been phenomenal. There are six batters in the regular lineup who have walked at least 10% since the beginning of last season.

Opposing this Marlins lineup is former relief pitcher Ryan Weathers, who had a decent spring but didn’t have great results in his two starts. Last season, he was miserable against right-handed batters, striking out just 16.7% of batters.

Ryan Weathers will play against the Yankees on Wednesday. USA TODAY Sports (via Reuters Con)

The Yankees are scheduled to send out six right-handed pitchers on Wednesday, but two of their left-handed pitchers are Soto and Verdugo, who are always a nightmare to deal with at the dish.

Weathers walked more than 11 percent of his batters last season. I have a problem with his pitch count and expect him to be “pulled” before he gets 5 strikeouts.

Evan Carter hits a home run (+600, BetMGM)

The Rangers have a wealth of young players, with Evan Carter and Wyatt Langford, the top two favorites for the American League Rookie of the Year, remaining.

Although Carter gained some action experience late last year, he is still considered a rookie. That means we have a little bit of MLB data on him.

In 98 at-bats dating back to his MLB playing time in 2023, Carter has a .308 ISO against right-handed pitchers. His barrel rate isn’t where I want it to be in this bet, especially since the opposing pitcher is soft-tossing Ross Stripling.

Somehow Stripling still has a job in 2024. In 2023, he really struggled against left-handed hitters, hitting 20 home runs in just 89 innings. He surrendered a very high barrel rate of .221 ISO and his 12.8% to opponents.

Kyle Hendricks less than 3.5 strikeouts (-155, bet 365)

This is a matchup that features an over-the-hill Cubs pitcher throwing into contact and one of the best contact hitting teams in baseball (the Padres).

This is a tough situation for Hendrix. Hendricks also hasn’t thrown more than 83 pitches in his two starts this season.

Hendriks used to be a decent pitcher, but he was terrible last season and will be even worse in 2024.

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Last season, he struck out just over 16% of batters, which is roughly equal to 14% this year.

The Padres have a low strikeout rate of 19% against right-handed pitchers this season, ranking third in baseball.

Youngsters Jackson Merrill and Luis Campusno give this lineup some much-needed power.