For nearly four decades, Democrats have held both Maryland congressional seats, but former Governor Larry Hogan (R-Md.) and Prince George's County Mayor Angela Alsobrooks are in a close race for the state's U.S. Senate seat.
According to an AARP poll conducted by Fabrizio Ward (Republican) and Impact Research (Democrat), i got you In the Old Line State, Hogan and Alsobrooks are tied at 46% each. Seven percent of 600 voters are undecided and 1% plan to support another candidate.
📊 Maryland Poll by Fabrizio Ward (Republican) and Impact Research (Democrat) @AARP
president
Harris: 64%
Trump: 32%
—
Senate
Alsobrooks: 46%
Hogan: 46%
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MD Independent
President – 🔵 Harris 55-36%
Senate – 🔴 Hogan 55-32%
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Favorite/Unfavorite
• Hogan: 59-28 (Net: +31)
• Harris: … https://t.co/6nlm5BZPRw pic.twitter.com/XuYJluHygo— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) August 27, 2024
Hogan, a moderate Republican who has been a vocal critic of former President Donald Trump, enjoys the support of 83 percent of Republicans and strong support from Democrats, with 26 percent of Democrats polling in favor of him over Also Brooks, a protege of Vice President Kamala Harris.
Given Maryland's strong Democratic leanings, Hogan will need strong Democratic support to ensure victory in November's election.
Alsobrooks is less popular with Republicans than Hogan is with Democrats, with just 9% of Republicans approving of him and fewer than 7 in 10 Democrats approving of him.
Hogan is edging out Also-Brooks with independent voters, with 55% of independents backing the former governor, a 23-point lead over his Democratic opponent, who has just 32% of independents.
There's a double-digit margin of support among Marylanders in nearly every age group: Hogan leads by 10 points among voters ages 18 to 34, 50% to 40%, but Alsobrooks leads in the next age group, 35 to 49, 53% to 40%.
Hogan is favored by a 13-point margin among those ages 50 to 64, 52 percent to 39 percent, but Also-Brooks is leading by 8 points among those ages 65 and over.
Mr. Hogan was a late announcer in the Republican primary, announcing his candidacy just hours before the February filing deadline, and his presence and strength in the race is a thorny issue for Democrats as it widens the swath of Senate battleground states the party must defend.
Democrats will likely need to devote more resources to supporting Also-Brooks than initially thought possible before Hogan's entry, which will give Republicans an advantage across Senate battleground states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania, Montana and Arizona.
Notably, no Republican has run for the U.S. Senate representing Maryland since Senator Charles M. Macias Jr. retired in 1987.
In opinion polls, Baltimore Banner Appearance The survey, as first reported, was conducted Aug. 14-20, 2024. The representative sample of 600 voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
