2026 NBA Playoffs: The Battle of Attrition
The initial round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs felt like an exhausting test of endurance. Star players were dropping out left and right, sometimes impacting the series results in unexpected ways. As the second round looms, it appears that the team with the most healthy players may end up being the last one standing.
The Boston Celtics were widely favored to win the Eastern Conference, but, in a surprising turn, they were ousted in Game 7 by the Philadelphia 76ers, who played without their injured star, Jayson Tatum. Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets, once seen as the frontrunners, seemed to struggle against the Timberwolves, looking older and less agile than anticipated.
Now, let’s evaluate the eight teams still vying for the championship, ranked by their chances of success.
Lakers vs. Thunder: A Key Question
Will Luka Doncic be back for the Lakers in the second round? That’s the big question hanging over the series against the Thunder. The Lakers managed without him in the first round, easily dispatching a struggling Rockets team, but facing Oklahoma City is a much tougher challenge. Austin Reeves’ return from injury is promising, yet he’ll encounter a tough defense from the Thunder. With a clever coach like J.J. Redick and an aging but brilliant LeBron James, the Lakers have a plan. Still, without a fully healthy Luka, their chances seem slim. No matter what happens, this series will highlight areas they need to focus on during the off-season.
Sixers Making Waves
The 76ers, with a healthy Joel Embiid, made a statement in the first round by toppling the Celtics. Embiid looked strong after recovering from an appendicitis and took charge against Boston’s lackluster frontcourt in crucial moments. Although facing the Knicks in the second round will be a stiffer challenge, his scoring ability gives Philadelphia a solid edge. Tyrese Maxey enhanced his reputation during the playoffs, proving he can contribute at a high level. V.J. Edgecomb has also shown promise, notably hitting five threes in Game 7. The East feels unpredictable right now, and while the Knicks may be favorites, the 76ers certainly have the talent to pull off an upset.
Timberwolves on the Rise?
The Timberwolves’ victory over the Nuggets was a major boost for their core, but it came at a steep price—Donte DiVincenzo suffered a torn Achilles, and Anthony Edwards is dealing with a knee issue. Surprisingly, Edwards is set to play in Game 1 against the Spurs, and he’ll be crucial for Minnesota if they hope to succeed. Rudy Gobert just outperformed Nikola Jokic and now faces Victor Wembanyama, potentially making for an interesting matchup. While it’s unfortunate that the Timberwolves won’t be at full strength, they still have the size and experience to compete. Don’t count them out just yet.
Cavs and Pistons Facing Off
The Cavaliers and Raptors have been in a tight battle, but Cleveland managed to advance after a strong showing in Game 7. Despite trading James Harden, they’ve assembled a competitive team under head coach Kenny Atkinson, although his rotation adjustments are still a work in progress. Donovan Mitchell hasn’t shined as expected, making their path forward uncertain against a capable Pistons team. Speaking of Detroit, they narrowly escaped a disaster against the Magic, who suffered an injury that turned the series in the Pistons’ favor. Cade Cunningham’s performance will be pivotal, and it’ll be interesting to see how he and Jaylen Duren fare against Cleveland.
Knicks Trying to Capitalize
The Knicks took six games to eliminate the Hawks but dominated by a considerable margin overall. With Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns, and OG Anunoby leading the way, they’ve built a solid foundation for a strong playoff push. The effectiveness of their role players, particularly Mitchell Robinson and Miles McBride, will be essential against Philadelphia. The Knicks could find themselves in a favorable position now that the Celtics are out of the running, but they will need to continue stepping up.
Spurs Looking Dangerous
The Spurs had their concerns when Victor Wembanyama had a concussion scare, but he returned and looked powerful. With an impressive on/off net rating, he’s showing he can be a game-changer. The role players have also stepped in nicely, with Julien Champagnie proving to be an effective shooter and rookie Dylan Harper making waves. If Wembanyama is in top form, San Antonio could pose a significant threat going forward, especially as they set their sights on the Western Conference Finals.
Thunder’s Rocky Road Ahead
The defending champions smoothly advanced with a sweep against the Suns and enjoyed a long break as they prepare to face the Lakers. However, concerns about Jaylen Williams’ hamstring injury linger, even if OKC has navigated similar situations all season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been spectacular, but he’ll need to step up even further against the Lakers. The Thunder’s solid defense paired with their strong offensive efficiency makes them formidable contenders, regardless of injuries. They seem primed to make another deep run.
