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Reasons Behind the Drop in EPAM Systems Stock

Reasons Behind the Drop in EPAM Systems Stock

EPAM Systems Experiences Stock Decline Despite Strong Earnings

IT consulting firm EPAM Systems saw its stock drop by 18.4% by 10 a.m. ET on Thursday, even after reporting better-than-expected sales and earnings.

Prior to the release of the fourth-quarter earnings, analysts projected EPAM to earn $3.16 per share on revenues close to $1.4 billion. Surprisingly, EPAM reported earnings of $3.26 per share, albeit on modest revenue of exactly $1.4 billion.

However, the seeming positive results may not tell the full story. While EPAM’s sales climbed 13% in the fourth quarter, the company trumpeted its pro forma profit numbers (with a 15% rise in non-GAAP profit), but its actual profit—calculated under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)—was far lower, at just $1.98 per share. That’s a 39% disparity compared to non-GAAP figures, and only a 10% year-over-year increase.

For the entire year, EPAM reported $5.5 billion in revenue, marking a 15% increase, but with a modest 6% rise in non-GAAP profit. The GAAP profit was reported at $1.5 billion, translating to approximately $6.72 per share.

CEO Balazs Fejes mentioned that the company is “scaling and accelerating AI-native revenue,” claiming EPAM is an AI stock, and the revenue trends support that. However, the weak GAAP earnings in the fourth quarter and the overall year-over-year earnings drop are concerning.

On a brighter note, EPAM’s guidance suggests potential earnings improvement ahead. The company anticipates a slower sales growth rate of about 6% into 2026 but forecasts an earnings rise to about $8.10 per share—20% above last year’s figures, which would significantly outpace sales growth.

Currently, EPAM’s stock trades at slightly over $136, and with a projected 20% earnings growth, the stock is positioned at just 16.8 times earnings. This decline could potentially offer a solid buying opportunity for investors interested in EPAM.

Before considering an investment in EPAM Systems, it’s wise to take note of additional insights available on other stock recommendations.

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