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Labour lead up to 27 points in latest YouGov poll for The Times
CON 20 (-2)
LAB 47 (+2)
LIB DEM 8 (-1)
REF UK 12 (+2)
GREEN 7 (-1)Fieldwork 16 – 17 January pic.twitter.com/ic63LgrCpG
— Lara Spirit (@lara_spirit) January 18, 2024
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Instead, we are expecting Sunak to talk about the Rwanda bill, which cleared the Commons last night by a comfortable margin as the Tory “rebels” largely abandoned their protest and accepted the argument that a “weak” Rwanda bill (in their opinion) was better than no bill at all, the sinking of Sunak’s premiership and a probable early election.
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There were big revolts on the rebel Tory amendments, but after two days of debates Sunak emerged looking stronger than the “five family” leaders who were threatening. to take the bill down. These are from the Scotsman’s Alexander Brown on their apparent capitulation and on Lee Anderson, who resigned as Tory deputy chair on Tuesday, releasing a letter expressing his “100% support” for Sunak almost exactly at the same time as he was voting against the government, but who on Wednesday abstained on the third reading.
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My favourite scene in The Godfather is when the five families meet and agree to do whatever the police say https://t.co/0M3GulJ2hv
— Alexander Brown (@AlexofBrown) January 17, 2024
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"My father made him an offer he could refuse. Lee Anderson held a gun to his own head, and the whips said either he quit or support the government, and he chose both" pic.twitter.com/NLNmECCX1Y
— Alexander Brown (@AlexofBrown) January 17, 2024
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The Rwanda bill now goes to the House of Lords, and Sunak is expeced to argue that peers should pass it quickly, without obstructing the will of the House of Commons. Chris Philp, a Home Office minister, was doing an interview round this morning, and he said he expected the bill to pass through the Lords swiftly. He told Times Radio:
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It’s a pretty short bill, which means it should be able to get through the House of Lords fairly fast.
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Here is the agenda for the day.
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Morning: Rishi Sunak holds a press conference in Downing Street.
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10am: Peter Sewell, a former manager from Fujitsu, working on the Post Office account, gives evidence to the Post Office Horizon IT inquiry.
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10.30am: Penny Mordaunt, leader of the Commons, takes questions on next week’s Commons business.
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11.30am: No 10 holds a lobby briefing.
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After 11.30am: MPs debate the order banning the Islamist group Hizb ut-Tahrir
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Noon: Humza Yousaf takes first minister’s questions at Holyrood.
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If you want to contact me, do try the “send us a message” feature. You’ll see it just below the byline – on the left of the screen, if you are reading on a laptop or a desktop. This is for people who want to message me directly. I find it very useful when people message to point out errors (even typos – no mistake is too small to correct). Often I find your questions very interesting, too. I can’t promise to reply to them all, but I will try to reply to as many as I can, either in the comments below the line; privately (if you leave an email address and that seems more appropriate); or in the main blog, if I think it is a topic of wide interest.
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important events
In an interview with LBC, chris philippeThe Home Office minister argued that Rishi Sunak was in a better position given that the Rwanda Bill had received third reading. Asked whether Mr Sunak had become “stronger or weaker” following the resignation of two Conservative Party vice-chairs and a ministerial aide following the passing of the bill, Mr Philip replied: .
As far as that influencing it, I think it's probably going to be more powerful.
Rishi Sunak holds press conference after Rwanda Bill passes Commons
good morning. Rishi Sunak is holding a press conference this morning. A memo warning political journalists was dispatched by No. 10 relatively late last night, but as is the case whenever such sudden announcements are made in 2024, the lobby's reaction was that “he won't vote”. Are you planning to convene?” The answer is no. The best evidence of this is perhaps the latest YouGov poll, published in today's Times, which shows Labor with a 27 point lead (although steering from 10th place also suggests the same). (shown).
Latest YouGov poll from Times newspaper gives Labor up to 27 points lead
CON20(-2)
Lab 47 (+2)
Ribdem 8(-1)
REF UK 12 (+2)
Green 7 (-1)
Fieldwork January 16th-17th pic.twitter.com/ic63LgrCpG
— Lara Spirit (@lara_spirit) January 18, 2024
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Latest YouGov poll from Times newspaper gives Labor up to 27 points lead
CON20(-2)
Lab 47 (+2)
Ribdem 8(-1)
REF UK 12 (+2)
Green 7 (-1)Fieldwork January 16th-17th pic.twitter.com/ic63LgrCpG
— Lara Spirit (@lara_spirit) January 18, 2024
Instead, we expect Mr Sunak to speak about the Rwanda Bill. It passed the House of Commons by a wide margin last night, as the Tory “rebels” largely abandoned their protests and accepted the argument that the (in their opinion) “weak” Rwanda Bill was unjust. Although it is better than no bill at all, it is likely that Mr Sunak's premiership will collapse and an early election will be called.
There was a massive revolt against the Conservative Party's amendments, but after two days of debate Mr Sunak now looks stronger than the Five Families leader he had threatened. . to withdraw the bill.These are from the Scots alexander brown In an apparent capitulation, Lee Anderson, who resigned as Conservative Party vice-chairman on Tuesday and published a letter expressing his “100% support” for Mr Sunak around the same time as the anti-government vote, but abstained on Wednesday. I also mentioned. Third reading.
My favorite scene in The Godfather is when the five family members come together and agree to do whatever the police say. https://t.co/0M3GulJ2hv
— Alexander Brown (@AlexofBrown) January 17, 2024
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"His father made him an offer he could have refused.Lee Anderson put a gun to his head and gave his whip a choice between quitting or supporting the government, and he chose both." pic.twitter.com/NLNmECCX1Y
— Alexander Brown (@AlexofBrown) January 17, 2024
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“My father made him an offer he could refuse. Lee Anderson put a gun to his head and told him he could either quit with a whip or support the government, and he chose both.” pic.twitter.com/NLNmECCX1Y
— Alexander Brown (@AlexofBrown) January 17, 2024
The Rwanda Bill now goes to the House of Lords, and Mr Sunak is expected to argue that his compatriots should pass it quickly without interfering with the will of the House of Lords. chris philippeThe Home Office Minister met this morning and said he hoped the bill would pass the House of Lords quickly. He told Times Radio:
This is a fairly short Bill, so it should be able to get through the House of Lords fairly quickly.
The agenda for the day is:
morning: Rishi Sunak holds a press conference in Downing Street.
10 am: Peter Sewell, former Fujitsu manager and Post Office accounts officer, gave evidence to the Post Office Horizon IT investigation.
10:30am: Commons leader Penny Mordaunt takes questions about next week's Commons business.
11:30am: No10 will hold a lobby briefing session.
After 11:30am: Lawmakers discuss order banning Islamist group Hizb ut-Tahrir
noon: Humza Yousaf answers the Prime Minister's questions on Holyrood Island.
If you would like to contact me, please try the “Send Message” feature. If you are reading on your laptop or desktop, it will appear just below the signature line, on the left side of your screen. This is for those who want to send messages directly. I find it very helpful to have people point out mistakes (including typos) in messages. No mistake is too small to be fixed. I often find your questions very interesting as well. I can't promise to reply to everything, but I'll do my best to reply in the comments section below that line. Privately (if you feel it is appropriate to leave your email address). Or on your main blog if you think it's a topic of widespread interest.
