Wisconsin's 10 electors will be decided by voters outside major cities such as Madison and Milwaukee.
That's according to a new Ark Insights poll of 700 people likely to vote for the Fields of Freedom Alliance between October 2nd and 6th.
Urban residents may be clamoring for Kamala Harris, but a poll by former Ambassador Terry Branstad's farm interests group shows that rural voters are giving Donald Trump a win in the battleground Badger State. This suggests that he may hold the key to breaking the blue wall that Democrats rely on in the November election. strategy.
Trump leads Wisconsin overall, 48% to 47%, a narrow margin that, if it manifests, would actually be the few percentage points Trump won in 2016 and lost four years later. will exceed.
And the key is one group. His advantage balloons to a 57% to 37% difference among those living in rural areas.
“Rural voters give President Trump a lead in Wisconsin and give him the advantage of strong access to independent voters,” said Jake Swanson, executive director of the Fields of Freedom Alliance.
Swanson told the newspaper that his organization has been working with farmers and rural voters in the state for months. Stand up for the farmers and fight for America first. ”
“This year has been particularly difficult for rural America's farmers and families,” he added.
“Farm income is projected to decline by more than $40 billion in 2024. We need an advocate in Washington who understands the challenges of agriculture and will fight to put America first. This election. There's no more risk.”
Mr. Trump is leading the vice president on many issues important to Wisconsinites.
When it comes to curbing government spending, the former president increased by 5 points, 49% to 44%.
Voters also trust President Trump more than the “border czar” to stem the flow of illegal immigration, by a margin of 53% to 42%. As if she wasn't impressed by the $62,000 Tiffany & Co. necklace she wore during her first recent visit to the border. Since taking office, the southern border.
Voters have low evaluations of Harris, in part because gasoline prices have soared amid President Trump's pledge to expand domestic energy production. He leads 50% to 42% on that issue. He also leads, 48% to 45%, on who is more likely to secure true energy independence.
Among his proposals to impose tariffs on economic competitors, Mr. Trump also has the most confidence on fair trade, by a 49% to 46% spread.
Similarly, the former president is seen as likely to curb inflation, which was rampant during much of the Biden administration, by 49% to 45%.
And voters also believe he is likely to move government out of the way of economic growth by cutting “burdensome regulations.” The spread for this question is 48% vs. 42%.
Nicholas Thompson of Ark Insights, which conducted the poll, said, “Polls show that the presidential race in Wisconsin is very close, and an overwhelming lead with rural voters would favor Trump. There is a good chance that he will have an advantage.” “Trump's strong lead on this issue opens a clear path to 50%+1.”
