Let. With less than two weeks to go until Election Day, Army Captain Sam Brown appears to be closing the gap with incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen in the battleground state of Nevada.
Mr. Rosen defeated Mr. Brown 49% to 44% of all voters, according to a new AARP poll.
Among voters over 50, a key demographic, Brown defeated Democrats 49% to 46%.
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The gap between Sam Brown and Jacky Rosen appears to be closing. (Reuters)
The poll results show a close race after some have expressed concern about the Republican position supporting Rosen in recent polls. Although many Republican candidates in key states had already improved against Democratic incumbents, Mr. Brown still lost to Mr. Rosen by a wide margin.
A late August CNN poll showed Mr. Rosen leading Mr. Brown by 10 points (50% to 40%). A Fox News poll from the same month showed Democrats winning even more, at 55% to their opponent's 41%.
Earlier this month, a New York Times/Siena College poll showed Mr. Rosen leading Mr. Brown 49% to 40%.
The same AARP poll that appears to be favoring Brown showed former President Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris in head-to-head races in battleground states, 49% to 47%. Compared to other candidates, Trump still leads Harris 47% to 46%.
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Sens. Jacky Rosen and Jimmy Kimmel pose for a group photo while thanking volunteers at the Democratic Coordination Campaign Canvas launch in Las Vegas on October 21, 2024. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
“It was never realistic that there would be such a huge difference between the Senate races and the presidential race in these states,” said Kyle Kondik, editor-in-chief of Sabbat Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. . “At the same time, Democratic Senate candidates received a higher percentage of votes than Ms. Harris in nearly every battleground state.”
According to Kondik, there is a “possible turnaround” for Republicans in a scenario in which President Trump performs particularly well.
“He could carry several Republican Senate candidates across the finish line,” he said.
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Nevada Republican Senate candidate Sam Brown attends a Hispanic roundtable with Republican presidential candidate and former President Trump at the Beauty Society in North Las Vegas on October 12, 2024. (Ethan Miller)
“Sam Brown is on a roll late in this campaign and is benefiting from strong early voting by Republicans,” said Jeremy Hughes, a Republican strategist in Nevada.
A veteran political journalist in the state said this is a departure from past elections, which have seen more Republicans vote than Democrats in early voting in Nevada.
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John Ralston, CEO and editor of the Nevada Independent, wrote that Republicans had an advantage in early voting “at a time when Democrats would normally vote.” “If it gets bigger, it's going to be a big problem for Democrats.”
Ralston also told Fox News Digital: “This is an amazing and unprecedented turnout for a presidential year.”
“Democrats typically use early voting to save votes, and the election is almost over by Election Day. This year is different. Mail-in ballots sent to everyone change everything, and it's very difficult to predict. Become.”
Trump event for Latinos to be held in Las Vegas on October 3, 2024. (Hannah Rae Lambert/Fox News Digital)
“Nevadaans are voting in droves because they know we can do better. There is incredible energy on the ground, and working families in Nevada are committed to lowering prices and raising the border. We're united behind Sam Brown's plan to make life affordable again. Nevadans have done just that, and it's clear they're ready for change. Yes, and the momentum is on our side,” Brown campaign spokesperson Reagan Lehman said in a statement.
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“Nevada Senate races are always close and competitive, and our campaign is not taking anything for granted,” a spokesperson for Rosen's campaign told Fox News Digital.
“We are proud that voters will finally re-elect Jacky Rosen, a bipartisan, independent problem-solver who provides health care to working families, takes away abortion rights, and supports affordable health care. We are confident that we will reject MAGA extremist Sam Brown, who wants to repeal the law and dismantle Social Security.''
His campaign also pointed to a late June poll also by AARP showing a similar 5-point difference between Rosen and Brown, 47% to 42%. At the time, Mr. Brown led Mr. Rosen among voters 50 and older, 49% to 44%.
The poll interviewed 1,368 likely voters in Nevada between June 12 and June 18. It also had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points for the overall sample of voters, and plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the sample of people 50 and older. .
The new AARP poll showing the narrowing gap was conducted Oct. 8-15 among 1,368 likely voters. The overall sample of voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, and voters age 50 and older have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. -1 year old sample.
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