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Slate of Polls Show Trump Opening Firm Lead over Biden as General Election Begins

Former President Donald Trump, the likely 2024 Republican nominee, entered the election season with a consistently solid lead over incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden.

Several establishment media polls, new york times to wall street journal CBS News and Fox News showed Mr. Trump ahead of Mr. Biden, with more than a dozen states set to join the six already voting next Tuesday.

Trump could defeat his last remaining rival in the Republican primary, former United Nations ambassador and former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley, with a strong performance on Super Tuesday. Haley herself has positioned Super Tuesday as a last stand, and if Trump wins all states in the voting this week, he has won all states so far, and future polls in each state suggest he has an even stronger lead. Considering the fact that She may call it before Biden delivers his State of the Union address to Congress on Thursday night. This means the US is officially heading into the 2024 general election, where Trump and Biden are set for the biggest rematch in US political history, and Trump faces the biggest political rematch in human history. We aim to achieve a reversal.

These latest findings bode very well for the former president’s chances of success. Mr. Biden is leading in each of the survey results, but when we dig into the cross tabulations and ask questions, we find that Mr. Biden’s performance among the key demographics is even worse, and it seems unlikely that Mr. Biden will remain the next president. will have to stick with Biden. White House.

The CBS News/YouGov poll released Sunday contains very dark warnings for Biden and great news for Trump. First, in head-to-head competition, the former president leads the current president 52% to 48%. Trump’s presence in majority territory should be very troubling for Biden — meaning, according to this poll, that Trump has the majority of the country behind him. This lead is also the largest lead CBS has recorded in the history of Trump vs. Biden polls, a frightening fact for the current president. But digging deeper into the numbers reveals further benefits for Trump and pitfalls for Biden. Among independents, CBS News Poll The poll shows Trump with 57% and Biden with 42%, giving him a 15-point lead among a crucial bloc that could decide the November election.

But that’s not all. Here, far more voters (46%) rated Trump’s presidential term as “excellent” or “good” than Biden, who received just 33%. Additionally, 53% of voters rated President Trump’s term in office as either “fair” or “poor,” fewer than Biden, who received 67%. These questions show that when faced with a choice between the two, the very same independents and swing voters who handed it to Biden four years ago throw it back to Trump. This means that it is possible to decide something.

Next, when it comes to how each will deal with inflation, if that is possible, things will get even worse for Biden. A solid majority (55%) of those surveyed by CBS News and YouGov said Biden’s policies would cause prices to rise. Only 17% of respondents said Biden’s policies would lower prices, while 27% said they would have no impact. Conversely, in the case of President Trump, only 44% of voters said that his policies would cause prices to go down, while 34% of voters said that Trump’s policies would cause prices to rise. 22% of voters said no.

When it comes to immigration and the border, the CBS poll did even worse for Biden. A majority (50%) say Biden’s policies will increase the number of immigrants, only 22% say Biden’s policies will decrease the number of immigrants, and 28% say Biden’s policies are ineffective. did. Conversely, regarding Mr. Trump, a super majority of 72% said that the number of immigrants entering the country is decreasing due to Mr. Trump’s policies, and only 72% said that the number of immigrants entering the country is increasing due to Mr. Trump’s policies. Just 9% said Trump’s policies were ineffective, while 19% said they were ineffective.

The CBS poll shows that there are other issues for Biden, including who is physically or mentally fit to be president, abortion and in vitro fertilization, and the question of who can best protect democracy, and for Trump. It also shows that there are benefits.

The CBS poll was conducted among 2,159 adults from February 28 to March 1, and has a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.

In addition to Sunday’s CBS poll, Trump is leading in a Fox News poll also released Sunday. The poll, conducted among 1,262 registered voters from February 25 to February 28, has a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points, with Trump leading head-to-head with 49 percent and Biden 47 percent. Including third-party candidates, the gap between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden actually widens to 3 percentage points, with Mr. Trump at 41%, Mr. Biden at 38%, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 13%. Cornel West has 3% and Jill Stein has 2%.

of fox news poll It turns out that Trump has made significant inroads with traditional Democratic voters, especially minority and young voters.

In an article revealing the poll results, Fox News’ Victoria Bharara said, “Trump’s lead remains strong in his own district, while record or “This is driven by near-record support.” “For example, 28% of Black voters support Trump in a head-to-head matchup with Biden, seven times the number who supported Trump four years ago (compared to 4% in February 2020). He has strong support among voters under 30 (51%) and Democrats (8%), and near-record support among Hispanics (48%) and suburban women (43%). It has gained.”

The Fox News poll also found very worrying numbers for Biden on the border and immigration.

“Nearly 8 in 10 voters say the situation at the southern border is either a major problem (37%) or an emergency (41%), and Congress bears most (52%) or some of the responsibility. (29%) say they deserve it. No action will be taken,” Bharara wrote. “Even fewer (47% say a lot, 25% some) say the Biden administration’s lack of law enforcement is to blame for the situation at the U.S.-Mexico border, although they are still 7 in 10. ”

a wall street journal A poll conducted by Fabrizio Lee was released Sunday and showed similarly impressive numbers for Trump, but troubling numbers for Biden. Starting from the top line, wall street journal According to the poll, Trump leads Biden in a head-to-head race, 47% to 45%. In districts with multiple candidates, Mr. Trump leads with 40% to Mr. Biden with 35%, followed by Mr. Kennedy with 9%, Mr. West with 2%, Mr. Stein with 1%, and Libertarian candidate Lars. It turned out that Mr. Mapstead was at 1%.

But perhaps more interesting is this: wall street journal vote That’s part of the question in question than the numbers in the top row. In fact, immigration and borders are now the biggest issue superseding the economy. Back to the December 2023 poll. wall street journalThe economy was the top issue, with 21% of respondents saying the economy was most important to them, but just 13% saying immigration was most important. No other stock hit double digits in December. Now the situation is completely reversed. In February 2024, 20 percent said immigration was their No. 1 issue, with the economy dropping to No. 2 at 14 percent. Again, no other stocks are rising double digits.

Moreover, Biden receives poor reviews from the American public on the first and second issues of the economy and immigration.of wall street journal Polls show how Biden will handle the economy (58%), how he will address inflation and rising costs (60%), how Biden will handle immigration (66%) and how Biden will handle the border. The majority of respondents were found to strongly or somewhat disapprove of the method. Security (65%). Majorities also oppose Biden on major foreign policy issues, with 50% somewhat or strongly disapproving of his handling of the war in Ukraine and 60% disapproving of his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas. Somewhat or strongly disapproval of the

of wall street journal The poll was conducted among 1,745 registered voters from February 21 to February 28, and has a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.

All of these studies released on Sunday, of course; new york times, released Saturday’s results showed Trump leading Biden by 5 points, 48% to 43%. Like the Fox News poll. times Polls show Trump cutting into traditionally Democratic districts.

of times Polls show Trump and Biden are tied among female voters, and Trump leads Biden among Hispanic voters. What’s more, Mr. Trump has widened his lead over Mr. Biden among working-class voters of color.

All these numbers make it clear that as the country heads into the presidential general election much earlier this year, with Super Tuesday this week and Biden’s State of the Union address on Thursday, much earlier than in previous cycles. The election campaign is expected to begin at the beginning of the month. Just like in 2020 and 2016, when the race didn’t turn around until late spring, Trump has a clear lead over Biden, and Trump will lose this election. This is quite a remarkable development for a former president who continues to fight legal battles on various fronts, and a dark turn for a current president who continues to slide into areas of concern.

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