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The Guardian view on the fall of Assad: a tumultuous, fragile hope in Syria | Editorial

BAshar al-Assad's fall from power was not a shock; it came with a whimper. Syria's dictator has reportedly fled his home following a blitzkrieg advance by a coalition of rebels. By Sunday morning, he was gone, and armed groups became the country's dominant political actors. A spirit of anti-Assad sentiment rose across Syria, manifesting itself through expressions of both celebration and defiance. The question now is whether this unleashed energy, brutally suppressed by fear and authoritarian rule, will become a unifying force in building a new nation, or will it instead be the harbinger of deeper divisions? The question is whether it will happen.

The collapse of the Assad family, which ruled Syria for more than half a century, should serve as a warning to dictatorships. Assad's resignation highlights a broader truth. Society cannot tolerate state-sponsored propaganda and other systematic abuses indefinitely. corruption and violence. The fish rots from the head down. Assad's Syrian state has spent more than a decade pursuing a reign of terror that has only fueled the very unrest it sought to quell, causing it to collapse from within. The collapse of the regime raises pressing questions about Syria's future. Weak institutions and a weak civil society place it at high risk of collapse.

Syria's prospects depend on both internal and external forces, especially Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, leader of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a former al-Qaeda splinter turned moderate Islamic faction. Jolani, credited with overthrowing Assad, promoted a strategic shift from jihadism to national liberation. in 2021he declared that he had no intention of going to war against the West, and for the past five years he has been doing so. supervised The semi-technocratic government in Idlib province covers 3 million people under Turkish protection. Although HTS avoids extreme interpretations of Sharia, it is still classified as a terrorist organization. Critics say the country is corrupt and intolerant of dissent. But Mr. Jolani's outreach to tribes, minorities and former enemies has strengthened his legitimacy as a state, and even Moscow, Mr. Assad's former protector, may seek to secure military bases.

Jolani is relying on allies, including Turkish-backed militias known collectively as the Syrian National Army. reputation. re-elected to pledge Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has called for stability in Syria to allow the return of 3 million refugees, but is concerned that he is receiving support from the United States. Kurdish Syria's regions could stimulate demands for autonomy within the country. Israel sees Islamist-led Damascus as a threat, but is relieved that Hezbollah, which has prioritized defending its base in Lebanon, cannot defend Assad's regime. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates could use their financial resources to help Syria rebuild, but past support for Mr. Assad become more complicated their role. Arab leaders were reassuring after talks in Qatar, saying they would try to avoid a flare-up of the 13-year-old civil war.

Syria will never be the same. Ordinary Syrians have endured unimaginable horrors under the Assad regime. But they wrote this chapter of history. Their newfound freedom is overshadowed by the daunting task of: Rebuilding in progress Living and infrastructure. A common desire to avoid violent revenge must guide efforts toward just reconciliation. Syrian people were often abandoned. In this fleeting moment of hope, the world must not fail them again. Concerted international efforts towards political stability, reconciliation and reconstruction are essential to ensure that their sacrifices lead to lasting peace.

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