During a recent press conference in London, President Trump’s comments took some by surprise, especially noticeable on the face of British Prime Minister Kiel Starmer.
However, those familiar with Trump’s stance on Afghanistan probably weren’t shocked. He has criticized the decision to hand over Bagram to the Taliban back in 2021, labeling it a strategic error. He even proposed that the US should reclaim it.
In this regard, Trump has a point. President Biden’s choice to abandon Bagram was indeed a misstep. The United States let go of a crucial airbase, one of the most strategically positioned in the world. Leaving it in the dead of night without informing Afghan allies seemed dishonorable.
Still, Trump’s role shouldn’t be overlooked. His dealings with the Taliban during his first term helped pave the way for a full withdrawal of US troops. Biden had the chance to alter this course but ultimately didn’t.
Now, the US faces a resurgent Taliban that holds more control over Afghanistan than it did before 9/11, along with a free-ranging al-Qaeda and ISIS presence. Trump now misses an opportunity to rectify Biden’s choices and reinforce America’s standing in Afghanistan.
At the press conference, Trump remarked that Bagram is strategically important because it’s “an hour away from where China makes its nuclear missiles.” This might be an exaggeration, but it does emphasize the significance of Bagram today.
Flights from Bagram can reach roughly 85% of the global population and over half of the Earth’s land within eight hours. This area encompasses critical trade routes and many of the world’s vital resources, including approximately 75% of rare earth mineral reserves, 70% of oil, and 65% of natural gas reserves.
For the US, Bagram could offer substantial advantages in the current power dynamics. It’s situated between Iran to the west and China to the east, with Pakistan and India to the south, and Central Asia to the north. Plus, Russia’s influence in the region is growing.
Bagram’s importance isn’t new. Historically, it was recognized even in ancient times; when Alexander the Great arrived in 329 BC, he established a base there, knowing its strategic value.
The Soviets also understood Bagram’s significance, using it as a crucial point during their war in Afghanistan. Many structures there still reflect Soviet construction efforts.
Post 9/11, the US invested in modernizing and expanding Bagram, adding a second long runway capable of accommodating the largest military transport aircraft. This complex history underscores why Bagram is considered one of the most valuable airfields globally.
While Trump states that he and his team are already conversing with the Taliban, the Taliban has denied this—possibly due to internal conflicts.
If one faction does engage with the US, it might raise questions among rivals within the group. Should negotiations for access to Bagram fail, the US should explore all options for reestablishing its presence there.
Recently, Trump was firm on his intention to act in America’s best interest, showing that he’s willing to use power decisively when needed. Bold measures could be required to address national interests.
After two decades at the base, the US military is thoroughly familiar with the layout and the surrounding area. Noteworthy is the fact that anti-Taliban forces still operate close by in the Panjir Valley, under 50 miles away.
Re-establishing a presence at Bagram poses challenges and risks, but it’s certainly possible. Once restored, operations and defenses could potentially mirror the US setup in Al-Tanf, Syria, where a protected zone allows for secure operations.
This move would be about addressing past errors while preparing for future engagements. Historically, Afghanistan has proven to be too significant to neglect.
Since the early 19th century, there have been numerous instances of military or diplomatic interventions in this area. Every decade, something occurs—Americans or Europeans stepping in.
No one anticipates a swift return of US military forces, but back in August 2001, intervention wasn’t foreseen either. It’s crucial to have a foothold available in case America needs to become involved again.
