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The Patriots’ road to the Super Bowl was surprisingly easy, but it may not make a difference against the Seahawks.

The Patriots' road to the Super Bowl was surprisingly easy, but it may not make a difference against the Seahawks.

New England Patriots Reach Super Bowl LX Amidst Historical Upset

The New England Patriots have made an unexpected appearance in Super Bowl LX, achieving what many are calling the largest upset in NFL history. After wrapping up last season with a 4-13 record, they’ve become the first team ever to make it to the Super Bowl following a 13-loss season.

While there are various elements contributing to this remarkable comeback, one factor has particularly captured the interest of fans across the league.

It’s important to note, I think, that New England’s journey to the playoffs wasn’t the most challenging. Once there, they faced some unexpected twists too. So, just how straightforward was their schedule, and will it hold significance in the upcoming Super Bowl?

Let’s dive into these questions.

Assessing New England’s Schedule

Before we delve deeper into the details of their schedule, let’s consider some key statistics.

This year, the Patriots’ opponents collectively ended with a record of 113-176, resulting in a winning percentage of only .391. This marked the lowest strength of schedule in the NFL, with New England being the sole team finishing below .400.

How does this stack up historically?

According to CBS Sports, they have tied for the third-easiest strength of schedule seen in the last half-century. This places them behind the 1999 St. Louis Rams, who faced a .363 schedule, and the 1979 Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a .379. Right in line with the 2025 Patriots are the 1999 Jacksonville Jaguars, sharing the .391 record.

What led to such a favorable situation for the Patriots? It starts with last year’s performance, which put them in fourth place in the AFC East. This year, that resulted in an easier schedule with matchups against other struggling teams like the Tennessee Titans, Las Vegas Raiders, and New York Giants.

Furthermore, the Patriots also encountered the NFC South in the league’s rotation, facing teams like the Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons, who both had mediocre records.

In total, New England played only three games against teams with winning records—the Buffalo Bills and the Pittsburgh Steelers—and they came away with just one win from those encounters.

Now, there are additional layers to examine. Let’s look at the entire regular season schedule and add a bit more context.

  • Week 1 vs. Las Vegas Raiders (Lost 20-13): Raiders let go of head coach Pete Carroll thereafter.
  • Week 2 vs. Miami Dolphins (33-27 win): Dolphins also parted ways with coach Mike McDaniel after the season.
  • Week 3 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (21-14 loss): Mike Tomlin resigned at the season’s closure.
  • Week 4 vs. Carolina Panthers (42-13 win): Their division champion ended with an 8-9 record.
  • Week 5 vs. Buffalo Bills (23-20 win): Bills fired coach Sean McDermott at season’s end.
  • Week 6 vs. New Orleans Saints (25-19 Win): Another NFC South opponent.
  • Week 7 vs. Tennessee Titans (31-13 win): Titans released Brian Callahan shortly before this match.
  • Week 8 vs. Cleveland Browns (32-13 win): Browns moved on from coach Kevin Stefanski post-season.
  • Week 9 vs. Atlanta Falcons (24-23 win): Falcons cut ties with Raheem Morris later.
  • Week 10 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (28-23 win): Another NFC South encounter.
  • Week 11 vs. New York Jets (27-14 win): Jets failed to register a single interception this season.
  • Week 12 vs. Cincinnati Bengals (26-20 win): Bengals were without Joe Burrow.
  • Week 13 vs. New York Giants (33-15 win): Giants dismissed Brian Daboll just beforehand.
  • Week 14: Bye Week.
  • Week 15 vs. Buffalo Bills (35-31 loss): Bills again let go of McDermott.
  • Week 16 vs. Baltimore Ravens (28-24 win): Ravens parted with John Harbaugh post-season.
  • Week 17 vs. New York Jets (42-10 win): Yes, that same Jets team.
  • Week 18 vs. Miami Dolphins (38-10 win): Dolphins again let McDaniel go.

If you’re keeping score, 11 of the Patriots’ games were against teams that will have new head coaches next season. This ties them with the 1925 Frankford Yellow Jackets for the record in NFL history.

Looking Ahead to the Playoff Schedule

Finishing with a record of 14-3, New England missed out on the top seed in the AFC due to a tiebreaker situation with the Denver Broncos. Specifically, their loss to the Raiders early in the season cost them the “common opponent” tiebreak.

In the playoffs, New England faced the Los Angeles Chargers, the Houston Texans, and ultimately the Broncos. It’s worth noting that they went up against three of the top 10 scoring defenses during this stretch, namely Houston, Denver, and the Chargers.

Interestingly, if the Seattle Seahawks, holding the top scoring defense in the league, win the Super Bowl, they will be the second team in NFL history to defeat the top three scoring defenses in a single postseason.

Still, there’s context to consider. The Chargers played without key offensive tackles, while the Texans were missing their top receiver and quarterback C.J. Stroud struggled significantly, throwing four interceptions.

Then, in the AFC Championship Game against the Broncos in a notoriously challenging venue for the Patriots, Denver lost their starting quarterback. Thus, Jarrett Stidham, drafted by New England in 2019, was under center.

A costly mistake by Stidham in the first half, combined with brutal weather, led to New England’s narrow victory.

In summary, while the Patriots have shown resilience against strong defenses in the playoffs, their journey also warrants some scrutiny.

Significance Going into Super Bowl LX

A common saying in the NFL reminds us that you shouldn’t apologize for winning. Teams are tasked with facing their set opponents, and the Patriots have done just that.

This standard means they are now in the Super Bowl, boasting 17 wins and a shot at the Lombardi Trophy.

Head coach Mike Vrabel has shared his perspective throughout the season, focusing on the week-to-week preparations against their upcoming opponents.

“I can’t coach more than one team at a time. I don’t set the schedule. Every team beats every team,” Vrabel remarked after facing Atlanta. “It’s interesting how strength of schedule is discussed in the NFL, yet everyone operates under a salary cap. So, I’m not going to apologize for winning.”

He also reiterated the importance of commitment every week, urging his team to be at their best for each game. Additionally, Vrabel highlighted Atlanta’s talent and the number of first-round picks on their team, underscoring that winning should never require an apology.

After the playoff victory over the Chargers, when asked about the schedule again, Vrabel simply noted, “It means we keep playing. It’s not a vacation.”

But what does the schedule mean once Super Bowl LX arrives?

As mentioned earlier, the Patriots are contending with the easiest schedule that’s been seen since the 1999 St. Louis Rams.

That Rams team captured victory in Super Bowl XXXIV.

There are several factors to keep in mind as the Super Bowl approaches.

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