The fantasy football playoffs are finally here, but they bring a wave of anxiety. Many fans worry about making the wrong lineup choices, and there are plenty of misleading predictions that can distort their chances of winning.
This often leads fantasy managers to overthink their decisions. They might get stuck in analysis paralysis, opting for players with weaker talent in favorable matchups, while overlooking bench players who might bounce back from a slump.
I’m not suggesting you should just start your best players without thought, but benching a high-potential superstar out of fear will likely result in a loss.
The player everyone seems to be anxious about is Justin Jefferson, the wide receiver for the Vikings. It’s understandable. This season has been tough for him. Of course, JJ McCarthy’s ankle injury that caused him to miss five games early in the season disrupted their chemistry. Plus, the veteran backup Carson Wentz isn’t quite what he used to be, suffering from injuries too. And there’s McCarthy, who struggled upon his return and got a concussion. It’s just been a mess.
Still, despite Jefferson’s unimpressive stats, he should definitely be a starter in your fantasy playoff lineup.
So, why do I say that? Well, last week, we saw some signs of improvement from McCarthy. Although it was frustrating to see Jefferson not getting enough looks, McCarthy’s near 70% completion rate, combined with no turnovers and a bit of extra running, gives me hope for a better outcome going forward.
The Cowboys may have strengthened their front seven and run defense, but their secondary is struggling—ranking 30th in DVOA and passing stats. If the Vikings manage even modest pass protection, McCarthy should be alright.
For those still considering benching Jefferson, it’s really about the alternatives. Some might think Brian Thomas Jr. is a better option against the Jets, but what evidence supports that over Jefferson? And Michael Wilson against the Houston defense? Not a chance. Or Christian Watson against Denver? Maybe not, either. Michael Pittman Jr.? Please.
You could list out potential replacements, but none compare to Jefferson’s upside. Not even DeVonta Smith against the Raiders or Wan Dale Robinson against the Commanders.
In the end, don’t start just anyone. It’s crucial to grasp the matchups and the talent involved. Personally, I believe it’s wiser to keep Jefferson in your lineup. It’s better to risk a slight dip in points than to have him sitting on the bench while scoring 20 points against the Cowboys. Don’t overthink it; just keep him in play.
