Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by a double-digit margin in Florida, once considered a battleground state, according to a University of North Florida Poll Research Institute (PORL) poll released Monday. I am doing it.
In the survey, taken Of the 977 likely Florida voters, 53% expressed support for Trump this election cycle. Harris had an approval rating of 43%, a 10-point difference. 2% said they would vote for another candidate, and 2% were still undecided.
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The study notes that the final result contains “blurring”.
After the first presidential and Senate vote choice questions, undecided respondents were asked in the next question who they would lean towards if they had to choose between the candidates. Additionally, responses were recorded from people who declined to complete the survey but volunteered who they would vote for before hanging up. These “listeners” and “ambivalent speakers” are included in the estimated score of presidential and Senate vote choices.
poll director michael binder put Do it like this:
Previous research has shown that people who hang up the phone after blurting out their choice to vote for a candidate are much more likely to vote, and most of these “nagging” people are Trump supporters. This may help explain why his lead has widened to 10 points, up from 7 points in the previous survey in July.
Not only does Trump have a 10-point lead, he also leads among key demographics. Perhaps surprisingly, Mr. Trump has overtaken Ms. Harris among women, with 49% support compared to 48% for Harris. Additionally, Trump has a double-digit lead among Hispanic voters in Florida, with 55% saying they support the former president, compared to 41% supporting Harris.
The survey also looked at the Senate race, with incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) leading Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel Powell (D-Fla.) by 3 points (approval rating: 49). % vs. 46%).
The survey was conducted between October 7th and 18th among 977 likely Florida voters. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.49 percent.
The results dovetail with the stark reality that there are now more than 1 million more registered Republican voters than Democrats in the Sunshine State, after outperforming Democrats for the first time in November 2021.
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