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Trump gaining on Harris in Minnesota as VP dips in midwest state: poll

Vice President Kamala Harris continues to lead former President Donald Trump in Minnesota, but the gap between the candidates has been cut in half in the space of a month, according to a new KSTP/SurveyUSA report. vote It was released at the weekend show.

Among voters in the state, Harris is leading Trump 48% to 43%, down from a 10-point lead she held in July after the nomination, 50% to 40%.


Should the Harris campaign sound panic alarms in Minnesota? Reuters

“Kamala Harris still has a lead in Minnesota, but it's half what it was a month ago. It's clear this race is still very shaky,” KSTP's Tom Hauser said. “By most standards, Democrats have rallied behind Kamala Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, at the 2024 national convention. But instead of the upsurge caused by the convention and the selection of Walz, the presidential race is actually neck and neck in Minnesota.”

The poll was conducted among 800 Minnesota adults from Aug. 27-29. Of the respondents, 704 were registered voters and 635 considered likely to vote. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.


A chart showing poll results reflecting Kamala Harris' lead over Donald Trump among Minnesota voters
A poll conducted by SurveyUSA gives Harris a five-point lead in Minnesota. KSTP/SurveyUSA Poll

The poll also found that Harris continues to lead among female voters, with 55% of women supporting her to Trump's 37%, an 18-point difference, and among men, she leads by 6 points, with 48% supporting her to Trump's 42%.

Urban and suburban voters tend to support Harris, while rural voters favor Trump. Harris leads Trump in urban areas 57% to 34% and in suburban areas 53% to 39%. Trump has the support of 54% of rural voters in the state, compared with Harris' 37%.

When asked their opinions of the two vice presidential candidates, 37% of voters surveyed thought Minnesota Governor Tim Walz would have been an excellent choice to be Harris' running mate, while 34% thought Waltz was a poor choice and 27% thought he was a good or reasonable choice.

By contrast, only 17% think Vance was a good choice, 38% say he was a poor choice, and the same percentage think he was a good or reasonable choice.

Of the poll respondents, 40 percent identified as Democrats, 35 percent as Republicans and 22 percent as independents. Minnesota has consistently voted for Democratic presidential candidates, last voting Republican in 1972 for President Richard Nixon.

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