Former President Donald Trump and Republican Senate candidate Kari Lake are both leading their Democratic opponents in a hypothetical general election race in Arizona, according to a poll conducted for Lake’s campaign.
JL Partners poll, outlined in memo published Punchbowl News on Friday found that 45% of likely voters sampled would support Trump in a head-to-head contest against President Joe Biden, who has 41% support. did. In this scenario, an additional 10% would support another person, while 4% would be undecided.
🚨New poll🚨@KariLake He maintains a lead in the polls and remains on track to become Arizona’s next senator.
Arizonans continue to learn the full story. @RubenGallegoWith his radical record, Cali’s lead will widen even further. 🌵#carizona#AZSen https://t.co/74wI3F3EoN
— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) February 2, 2024
Trump has a higher approval rating with Republicans (90%) than Biden with Democrats (86%). They also maintain a 2-point lead over Latinos and a 10-point lead over whites. However, Mr. Biden has a double-digit lead over Mr. Trump, with 46% and 36% of the vote among independents, respectively.
Trump won Arizona by a narrow margin in 2020, after defeating Hillary Clinton in the 2016 general election. As noted by Breitbart News, the poll follows a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll released Wednesday that showed a binary election in the Grand Canyon State. The race showed Trump leading Biden 47-44.
Meanwhile, Lake holds a narrow lead in a hypothetical Senate race against Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (Iowa-Ariz.) in a three-way race. ) will be competing against. .
WATCH — Kari Lake: Arizona Senate ‘second most important election in the country’ after presidential election
Matt Purdy/Breitbart News
In a two-person race, Mr. Lake has a narrow lead over Mr. Gallego, 46% to 44%, but 9% of respondents are undecided. Among independents, Gallego has a slight advantage, 45% to 43%.
Interestingly, Lake, who was two-thirds of a point away from winning the 2022 gubernatorial race, “remains supported by 93% of his 2022 supporters,” the memo states. . However, Gallego is supported by only 88% of the people who supported Lake’s opponent, Gov. Katie Hobbs (D-Ariz.), in the midterm elections.
If the field is expanded to include Sinema, who has not yet announced whether he will run for re-election, Lake will lead by one point. He was supported by 40% of respondents, with 39% saying they would vote for Gallego and 13% saying they would vote for Sinema. The remaining 8% of her is undecided.
In other words, polls suggest that the possibility that Mr. Sinema, who left the Democratic Party in December 2022, will seek re-election could slightly hurt Mr. Lake.
Although the sample size, margin of error, and field dates were not listed in the voting notes, X’s reliable vote tabulation account @IAPolls2022, According to reports, the poll was conducted for Lake’s campaign between January 29 and 31 among 500 respondents. Lake’s campaign has been reshared @IAPolls2022 Post about research.
