In a hypothetical head-to-head race, former President Donald Trump has a 6-point lead over President Joe Biden nationally, according to a new poll from Harvard University and Harris University.
poll, published On Monday, with less than six months to go until the Nov. 5 election, Trump was found to hold a 49% to 43% lead over Biden. 80% of respondents said they had not decided yet.
When undecided voters were asked to choose a candidate to include in the remaining sample, Trump led 53% to 47%. His 6-point advantage is a 2 percentage point increase from April, when he led Biden 52% to 48%, including lean voters.
🇺🇲 National Poll: Harvard University/Harris University
Trump 49% (+6)
Biden 43%with lean
Trump 53% (+6)
Biden 47%
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Trump 45% (+5)
Biden 40%
RFK Junior 14%
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May 15th-16th | 1,660 RV | MoE: ±2.0%https://t.co/SIj9CohwsW pic.twitter.com/nWKTppTyqF— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) May 20, 2024
Republicans are more likely to support the former president than Democrats are to support Biden, signaling greater enthusiasm within the GOP.
Including Lean voters, the 45th president won the support of 95 percent of Republican voters, but Biden captured 91 percent of Democratic voters. Nearly 1 in 10 Democrats supported Trump, but only 1 in 20 Republicans supported Biden.
Moreover, among independents and third-party voters, Trump leads Biden 56% to 44%.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Among Independents
Trump 56% (+12)
Biden 44%
.
Trump 44% (+10)
Biden 34%
RFK Junior 22%Harvard/Harris | May 15-16 | RV https://t.co/qQC4qvYAOj pic.twitter.com/e5YlJnlbHW
— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) May 20, 2024
The addition of independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. reduces his lead over Biden by one point.
Trump’s approval rating is 45%, Biden’s 40%, and RFK Jr.’s 14% (including those who lean towards his supporters).
Among Republican voters, 86% support the presumptive Republican nominee, with 8% supporting Kennedy and 6% supporting Biden. Biden leads the Democrats with 79%, but Kennedy and Trump are trailing by 14% and 7%, respectively.
ATTENTION — Conservatives take note: Take note of RFK Jr.’s crazy left-wing rhetoric
The 45th president still comfortably leads Biden among independents, 44% to 34%. In this scenario, an additional 22% of the demographic supported Kennedy.
Additionally, polls show that the presidential race would remain extremely competitive under three scenarios, assuming President Trump was convicted in either the documents scandal, the January 6 scandal, or the Georgia election scandal. It was also discovered that he was deaf.
Document case:
Georgia election incident:
Case of January 6th:
🇺🇲 2024 GE: “If President Trump is convicted of a crime related to his handling of classified presidential documents.”
Trump 52%
Biden 48%
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“If Trump is convicted of RICO charges for attempting to influence Georgia’s 2020 election results.”Biden 50%
Trump 50%
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“If Trump… https://t.co/qQC4qvYAOj pic.twitter.com/OkSr2pyv8e— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) May 20, 2024
WATCH — Trump lawyer Alina Haba: Democrats are using ‘laws’ because ‘votes can’t stop Trump’
Matt Purdy/Breitbart News
According to the poll, 69% of voters have decided who to vote for, but 31% are still weighing their options. A higher percentage of Republican voters (78%) than Democratic voters (70%) have decided on a candidate. A majority of independents (56%) are determined, but 44% are considering multiple candidates.
The survey was conducted on May 15th and 16th among 1,660 registered voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
