According to state opinion polls, former President Donald Trump is leading or tied with President Joe Biden in six of the eight swing states in 2024.
Overall, this study is important because Biden won all eight states in 2020 that are currently considered battleground states in 2024.
The latest state polls show Trump with a dramatic lead.
1: Michigan
Trump plus 4 points: emerson college
2: Wisconsin
Trump plus 9 points: emerson college
3: Minnesota
Biden plus 8 points: Florida Atlantic University Institute for Political Communication and Public Opinion/Main Street Research
4: Pennsylvania
Trump is tied with Biden: fox news
5: Georgia
Trump plus 7 points: YouGov
6: Arizona
Trump plus 5 points: fox news
7: Nevada
Trump plus 18 points: emerson college
8: Virginia
Biden plus 6 points: Florida Atlantic University Institute for Political Communication and Public Opinion/Main Street Research
Biden’s lead in Trump’s polls is due to a political realignment underway that could upend Biden’s cross-party coalition in 2024, Republican insiders told Breitbart News. Ta. “All the swing states needed to win the White House are going back to Trump,” Republican strategist Garrett Bentley told Breitbart News. “He is building a diverse coalition that will lead to victories with working-class voters and minority voters.”
“It’s simple: They know Joe Biden’s policies hurt them and Donald Trump’s policies helped them,” he added.
A Gallup/Siena College poll recently found that Democratic support among black, Latino and Asian voters has fallen to its lowest level in 60 years.Hispanics and black men are proportionately more likely to vote for Trump I haven’t seen it Active in American politics since the 1950s.
“Biden’s disastrous open borders, out-of-control crime, crippling inflation, and Third World legislation against his political opponents are catapulting Trump back into the White House,” said the founder of the pro-Trump Article III Project. said Mike Davis, president and CEO. .
Related Exclusive: Large group of immigrants from many countries cross border into Arizona
Randy Clark / Breitbart
Nonwhite identification with the Democratic Party is “at its lowest point since the 1960s and before the civil rights movement and the 1964 election, when black voters aligned themselves with the Democratic and anti-Republican sides.” financial times Columnist and chief data reporter John Byrne-Murdoch explains X.
Political realignment is also occurring among classes and income groups. “In 2020, the richest third of voters supported Democrats for the first time, and Republicans improved their relationship with the poorest,” Byrne-Murdoch wrote. “Republicans now appeal to working-class and middle-class voters of all ethnicities.”
Caroline Levitt, the Trump campaign’s national spokeswoman, said Biden’s decline in support was due to his far-left policies that did not resonate with independents.
“There are more than 100 polls showing President Trump with a landslide lead over Joe Biden, including Joe Biden leading in every key battleground state and winning by double digits among independents. This includes recent polls showing that
“Key Democratic constituencies such as African Americans, Hispanic Americans, and women are supporting President Trump because they are tired of Crooked Joe’s record high inflation, open borders, crime and chaos. “Joe Biden no longer has a base of support because of this.” .
Patrick Ruffini, co-founder of Echelon Insights, said President Trump appears to have spurred a realignment in 2016, with the Republican Party turning to working-class Americans rather than college-educated, upper-income, and corporate voters. He said he was forced to empathize.
“Trump may have been the perfect embodiment of this old Republican stereotype, but under his watch, the party now has more people in the bottom half of the economic hierarchy without college degrees. Ruffini explained. time. “Given that more than 6 in 10 voters don’t have a college degree, this is a real boon for Republicans’ ability to win elections in the future.”
“But what will be different in 2024 is that elections will be held under the umbrella of economic uncertainty,” he continued. “And that’s pushing more working-class voters into Trump’s camp, especially nonwhite voters who align with the Democratic Party.”
Wendell Husebo is a political reporter for Breitbart News and a former Republican war room analyst.he is the author of politics of slave morality.Follow Wendell “X” @WendellHusebø or society of truth @WendellHusebo.




