Former President Donald Trump will receive the support of a majority of independents in the 2024 presidential election even if he is convicted of two of the criminal charges currently pending against him, according to a new poll.
Mr. Trump, Most likely candidate As a Republican presidential candidate, he polled ahead of President Joe Biden. take the lead He is the Democratic candidate in several recent polls.new investigation An investigation conducted by Harris Even if they did, it is likely that they would receive a majority of independent votes. result. (Related: Here are all the states that ruled on Trump's presence on the ballot)
If he is found guilty in the federal secrets trial, Mr. Trump will win 51% of independent voters compared to 49% for Mr. Biden. If he is convicted in the Georgia extortion trial, Mr. Trump will have an approval rating of 53% among independents, compared to 47% for Mr. Biden.
If President Trump is convicted of a crime related to handling classified information. Document: Who will you vote for president?
Trump: 53% (+6)
Biden: 47%
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If Trump is convicted by a jury of RICO for attempting to influence the outcome of the 2020 Georgia election, who will you vote for? https://t.co/906N7w10Rq pic.twitter.com/bQOyPlurLW— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) January 22, 2024
But in some cases, if Trump is convicted, he would be tied with Biden among independent voters. The lawsuit concerns Trump's efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election through the certification of the electoral votes on January 6, 2021, and is scheduled to go to trial this year in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia. It is.
The poll was conducted from January 17th to 18th, 2024 among 2,346 registered voters across the United States. FiveThirtyEight's analysis improves poll reliability School year “B”.
The Biden campaign did not respond to requests for comment.
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