A Rasmussen Report poll released this week found that voters are probably slightly more confident that former President Donald Trump will win against Vice President Kamala Harris in November.
investigation asked Respondents were asked, “Regardless of who you plan to vote for, who do you think is most likely to win the presidential election?”
Overall, 45% of likely voters believe Trump will win, compared to 43% who say Harris will win, a two-point difference. A further 11% are still unsure.
Among Democrats in particular, 76% are confident that Harris will win, compared to 16% who believe Trump will win. The remaining 7% are still unsure.
Among Republicans, 77% believe Trump will win, compared to 16% who believe Harris will win and 7% who are not yet sure.
However, a plurality of independents are confident that Trump will beat Harris, 45% to 36% for Harris. Another 19% of independents remain unsure.
Details from Rasmussen report:
Among those who said they would vote for Harris, 87% said she was most likely to win, while 82% of Trump voters said Harris was most likely to win. I think it's expensive. Trump has a clear advantage on this question among undecided voters, with 35% saying Trump is most likely to win, compared to 35% who say Harris is the winner. Only 3% thought it was likely.
The survey was conducted September 23-25, 2024 among 1,080 likely U.S. voters. The results, which had a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points, come as Trump continues to make strides both at the state level and in national polls.
recently released For example, Trump leads among independent voters, with 50% support compared to Harris' 46%, according to Marist polls. The poll also showed Harris trailing only President Joe Biden in terms of support from nonwhite voters.
Harris (71%) leads Trump (28%) among voters who plan to vote by mail or absentee, but Trump (58%) outnumbers Harris (40%) among those who plan to vote. It's advantageous. election day. Those who plan to vote at early voting locations are divided (50% for Trump, 48% for Harris).
Among white voters who are likely to vote, Mr. Trump (53%) leads Ms. Harris (45%). Harris (60%) has a lead over Trump (39%) among nonwhite voters, but she still falls short of Biden's approval rating among 2020 voters (71%).
The survey was conducted ahead of a much-anticipated rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, on Saturday, October 5, nearly three months after the first attempt on President Trump's life.
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Matt Purdy/Breitbart News
President Trump is expected to honor Corey Comperatore, a firefighter, husband and father who lost his life that day.
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