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Who’ll win NYC’s casino race? Gambling experts set odds

As New York’s summer progresses, the battle over casino licenses in the three cities is intensifying.

Proposals and a $1 million application fee must be submitted by Aug. 31, and billions of dollars remain outstanding.

With the exception of two racetracks that already profit from electronic gambling and are considered the front-runners — Resorts World New York City in Queens and Empire City in Yonkers — the remaining six candidates face local opposition.

Jay-Z may be best known for his music, but he could add gambling boss to his resume if Roc Nation, Caesars Palace and SL Green secure one of New York’s three casino licenses. Wire image

“Corporations are spending millions on lobbyists,” a political insider told The Post, “and no part of the city wants a new casino.”

The multi-billion dollar craps shoot is about to get underway, with licenses expected to be issued by late 2025, but here’s who will participate and the odds of rolling a seven.

Stephen Ross and Wynn Resorts

Budget: $12 billion

Public Benefits: 5.6 acres of parkland, public schools

Casino: Wynn New York City

Facing the glittering Hudson Yards, Wynn NYC boasts an 80-story hotel/casino and lavish restaurants that, given Wynn’s reputation for quality, should blend in within the glass tower.

“We’re creating a destination resort,” Wynn chief communications officer Michael Weaver told The Washington Post, adding that live on-site entertainment is not part of the plans. “We’re going to align it with shows, sporting events and concerts in the city.”

Wynn Resorts and Steve Wynn’s proposed glittering casino project, if licensed, would complement the architecture of Hudson Yards. Provided by affiliates and Wynn Resorts

But the local Community Board 4 has complained that the casino will displace housing promised by Stephen Ross’s Related Companies, which developed Hudson Yards (up from 5,700 to 1,507 units).

“Would they get past the Community Review Board?” Bennett Liebman, former deputy commissioner for gambling and racing under former Gov. Andrew Cuomo, asked The Washington Post.

Andrew Rosen, chief operating officer of Related’s Hudson Yards, doesn’t seem worried: “We committed to 324 units of affordable housing. We’re going to build those 324 units. The community hasn’t seen what we’re doing yet.”

Real estate mogul Stephen Ross wants to add a gambling venue to his glittering empire. Getty Images

Odds of approval: 3 to 1. “Wynn and Related are the best,” says Alan Wojnski, president of casino consultancy. Gaming USA“I don’t think there will be much opposition. The scale of the project is impressive.”

MGM Resorts International

Budget: $3 billion

Public bonus: Tripling the already employed mostly local workforce

Casino: Empire City

Empire City, a racetrack owned by gambling giant MGM, is preparing to become a full-fledged casino. MGM Empire City

Yonkers Raceway introduced slot machine style games in 2006 through Empire City Casino.

In 2018, MGM Resorts International, which owns the Bellagio in Las Vegas, purchased the racetrack and the Empire for $850 million.

The company is currently seeking to obtain a full gaming license.

Mitchell Moss, a professor of urban policy and planning at New York University, sees the racetrack and its proposed 301,200-square-foot expansion as having a “record of success and being easily expandable.”

The blackjack tables would complement the existing slot machines and generate significant profits and taxes. MGM Empire City

Odds of approval: 50-50 “They should have the license by now,” Wojnski said. “They’ll be generating tax revenue within six months” at the gaming tables while the expansion continues. “It would be foolish not to give them a license.”

Stefan Soloviev and Mohegan Sun

Budget: $10 billion

Public perks: 6.7 acres of parkland and the Freedom Museum (which includes Solovyov’s personal piece of the Berlin Wall)

Casino: Freedom Plaza

Stefan Solovyov is considered Manhattan’s dark horse.

Stefan Soleviev is confident that even skeptical local residents will like the entertainment district once it’s completed. Madison Voelkel/BFA.com
Stefan Soloviev’s Freedom Plaza is more than just a casino, it also houses an entertainment center and a huge park with views of the East River. Solovyov Group

Solovyov and Mohegan Sun’s Midtown East property has drawn ridicule from local residents despite its proposal to build 1,325 apartments (513 of which will be below market rate) and 1,200 hotel rooms.

He mentioned gambling. Treating profits as “blood money.” Robert Gottheim, district manager for Rep. Jerry Nadler, said he was concerned that “our most vulnerable people will gamble away their paychecks.”

From a city planning perspective, Moss said the casino “won’t fit in with the neighborhood. We don’t need a casino near the Queens Midtown Tunnel.”

Executives from Mohegan Sun, a Connecticut casino, will be in charge of gaming operations at Freedom Plaza. Mohegan Sun Facebook

Solovyov responded unashamedly to those who dislike gambling: [subterranean] “The casino is just one part of the entertainment district we’re building,” he told the Post. “We think people are going to love it when it’s finished.”

Probability of approval: 50 – 1[Soloviev] No experience [with a casino]”And Mohegan has pulled out of Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas,” Woinski said. Mohegan Sun previously operated Virgin Hotels casinos, but according to reports, neither company has explained the split.

Genting Group

Budget: $5 billion

Public Benefits: Over 10 acres of green space

Casino: Resorts World New York City

The entrance to Resorts World NYC, a racetrack that’s already open. Corbis via Getty Images

Resorts World NYC, a racino (a combined horse racetrack and casino) that has been open since 2011, claims to be the best-performing non-tribal casino in the United States outside Las Vegas.

This does not include table games such as blackjack or roulette.

But the license could face pushback due to allegations that an interpreter for Los Angeles Dodgers baseball star Shohei Ohtani gambled with a gambler who deposited funds with Resorts World in Las Vegas.

Gambling law expert Nelson Rose told The Washington Post that the scandal was “bad news” because “one of the criteria for a casino license is reputation.”

The track is already raking in the big bucks, as evidenced by the busy gamblers playing electronic baccarat at Resorts World New York. AP
If approved, Resorts World NYC “would be an incredible casino,” a gaming expert told The Post. Perkins Eastman/Resorts World New York City

Megan Taylor, senior vice president of government relations and public affairs for Resorts World NYC, told The Post, “Resorts World Las Vegas is a separate company from Resorts World New York. There is no overlap between senior management.”

Moreover, she added, if permission is granted, “within six months, the cards will be available for resale,” thus generating tax revenue almost immediately.

Odds of approval: 50-50. “If there were issues related to Las Vegas, there would have been hearings on slot machines. [at Resorts World NYC]”This property is going to be a great casino,” Wojnski said.

Bally’s Corporation

Budget: $3 billion

Public Bonus: Set up a police station within the game facility

Casino: Bally’s Bronx

If approved, the Bronx Bally’s would be the suburban Bally’s in Atlantic City. Christopher Sadowski

Bally’s Corporation acquired the Bronx Links Golf Course from Donald Trump in 2023.

The golf club wants to convert part of the course’s parking lots and driving range, which count as parkland, into a casino.

Bronx lawmakers have yet to back the plan, which would require a special permit known as a “park land transfer,” putting Barry’s in a bind.

While locals have been lukewarm on plans to build a casino, hotel and spa in the area, Christopher Jewett, the company’s senior vice president of corporate development, argued to The Washington Post that the location is an asset.

“If MGM and Resorts are the layups, we’re right in the middle,” he said. “We’re in the sweet spot in terms of not diluting other companies’ revenues.”

Odds of approval: 60 to 1. “Bally’s is in a tough financial position,” Wojnski said, pointing to the company’s billions of dollars in debt and a projected net loss of $172 million in 2023. “I would ask: Do they really want to do a project of this magnitude?” a shareholder asked the same question recently.

Steve Cohen and Hard Rock International

Budget: $8 billion

Public Bonus: 25 acres of new park space

Casino: Metropolitan Park

Former hedge fund mogul and current New York Mets owner Steve Cohen tends to get whatever he wants, and right now, that thing he wants is a casino. Charles Wenzelberg/New York Post

Steve Cohen usually gets things his way and ends up paying the price.

He wanted Damien Hirst’s famous shark preserved in formaldehyde and paid $8 million.

Then there’s the Mets acquisition ($2.4 billion).

Topping them all is Cohen’s Casino, which also includes a food hall, hotel and music venue.

An aerial rendering of what Steve Cohen’s Metropolitan Park could look like, in what sources described to The Washington Post as a “once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.” Metropolitan Park Vision

“This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity,” a source close to the project told The Post.

However, this is not true for everyone.

The marginalization of Parkland is as much an issue for Cohen as it is for the Barrys. State Sen. Jessica Ramos has vowed that she “will not introduce legislation to marginalize.” [Cohen’s property] For casino purposes.”

However, the source said, “there are multiple avenues to gain the necessary approvals.”

Part of the Citi Field parking lot could become the site of a Steve Cohen casino — if the company gets permission to build a casino there. Brian Zak/NY Post

Odds of approval: 25 to 1. “You can’t convince people that they’re not in favor of gambling,” Wojnski said. “I don’t think there’s any other way.” [Ramos]. “

Thor Equities, Chickasaw Nations Global Gaming Solutions, Saratoga Casino Holdings, Legends Hospitality Group

Budget: $3 billion

Public Bonus: Year-round Ski-Ball

Casino: The Cony

This depiction of Coney shows an attempt to revive the old electrified spirit of Coney Island. The Cony NYC

This ambitious casino of the future relies on the past.

“Coney Island is one of New York City’s oldest entertainment districts,” project consultant and former New York City Councilman Robert Comegy told the Post, adding that Coney crews aim to recapture that atmosphere.

Nonetheless, last year the local community committee Voted against Casino proposal.

Some feared Coney Island would imitate the dilapidated Atlantic City.

Cornegy insists they’re working together: “We’re embracing the needs of the community. We’re putting a Coney Island attraction on the first floor and a casino on the second floor.”

He also pointed to a lack of investment in Coney Island, adding, “We can have an impact on the community. I don’t know if we can have the same impact in Manhattan.”

If things go according to Connie Crew’s plan, the island’s landmark will be completed. The Cony NYC

Odds of approval: 40 to 1. “I like this project, but there are too many people involved,” Wojnski said. “I don’t think they have the clout to make it happen.”

Nominees: Jay-Z, Caesars Entertainment, SL Green

Budget: trillion yen

Reveal Bonus: Jay-Z Curates Entertainment

Casino: Caesars Palace Times Square

Some groups around Times Square are not welcoming Caesars.

A rendering of Caesars Palace Times Square, promising to add even more light to the famous illuminated Strip. SL Green

The Broadway League opposes casinos (fearing they will reduce theater attendance), even though the project would use $117 million to buy theater tickets for children and train aspiring actors.

Meanwhile, a group of nearby landowners has voiced support for the proposed gambling venue.

Seventy-one percent of registered voters in the area expressed opposition, in the poll conducted by the Coalition Against Times Square.

But Brett Hershenfeld, executive vice president of retail and opportunistic investing at SL Green, is optimistic.

“Caesars Palace Times Square is a project designed to revitalize all of the businesses in Times Square through investment and shared economic benefits,” he told the Post.

Jay-Z’s addition could help Caesars Palace Times Square surpass its Las Vegas flagship in terms of entertainment. Getty Images

As for Jay-Z’s role, a source told The Washington Post in December 2022, “The hope is that Jay will be able to take on a residency similar to what Adele has in Las Vegas.”

Odds of approval: 25 to 1. “Times Square doesn’t have any convenient locations,” Wojnski says. The best way to get there is by subway. Would you want to take the subway with $5,000 in your pocket? If we get local approval (unlikely), I’d guess 10 to 1.”

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