Donald Trump has found himself in a powerful position in the Middle East. The assertive actions taken by Israel, along with its readiness to embrace risk, have allowed Trump to undermine Iran and showcase his ability to manage Israel’s aggression. He’s in a unique position and really ought to capitalize on it now.
Iran attempted to engage the US as an equal, aiming to curb Israel’s missile threats and nuclear ambitions. But Israel’s decisive preemptive strike on June 13 revealed the fragility of Iran’s stance.
Remarkably, just ten days later, US B-2 bombers penetrated deep into Iranian territory, targeting its nuclear facilities directly.
Washington wasn’t merely supportive of Israel; it was an active participant in the conflict. Trump essentially enforced a ceasefire, leading Israel to halt its actions, with Iran complying as well. The end of hostilities came through American directives rather than negotiations.
This situation might blend military strategy with psychological influence. Trump has effectively utilized Israel as a partner to weaken Iran’s position. He demonstrated that he could, at any moment, rein in Israel should he choose to do so. This reality is undoubtedly intimidating for Iran. If Israel decides to engage again, it likely could, and Trump would have the power to intervene if he wanted.
This backdrop sets the stage for renewed discussions from the US side. These talks shouldn’t drag on indefinitely; Iran shouldn’t be allowed to play for time as it did during President Obama’s administration. Trump needs to assert that the conflict has exposed the limitations of Iran’s options.
The administration, while still intact, has taken hits. Iran’s nuclear and missile programs have suffered, and its proxies have been significantly weakened. Leadership that once promised strength now faces skepticism and humiliation.
Conditions moving forward should be stringent and immediate.
1. A halt to all uranium enrichment exceeding the 3% civilian threshold is essential, in line with non-proliferation treaties. Iran might be allowed some private enrichment under its NPT obligations.
2. Termination of its missile program is a must—particularly long-range systems that threaten Israel and neighboring Arab capitals.
3. All support for regional proxy militias must end, including groups like Hezbollah, the Houthis in Yemen, and Shiite militias in Iraq. These militias are central to Iran’s regional aggression and cannot be part of any negotiations.
Iran may resist and take its time, but it’s effectively cornered. The Arab nations remained largely silent during the recent Israeli-Iran conflict, signaling a tacit approval of Israel’s actions. Major European nations, though cautious, have been primarily supportive of the US-Israel alliance. Tehran has dwindling allies and options.
Yet, this is just part of the picture. The ongoing war in Gaza must conclude—it’s become unnecessary, destructive, and politically harmful. Once again, Trump holds a significant advantage here.
Not too long ago, Netanyahu faced serious unrest at home. Protests filled the streets, and his government was shaky. The Iranian strike provided him a reprieve and a narrative of victory, but he still owes Trump.
Trump can push for an end to the Gaza conflict—something Netanyahu has resisted due to pressure from hardline factions threatening his coalition.
The plan is laid out. Palestinian authorities should be reinstated in Gaza, which likely demands security cooperation from Arab countries like Egypt and Jordan, along with substantial financial aid for reconstruction from Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
Read the latest information on the Israeli-Iran conflict:
Hamas needs to be disarmed and exiled, and in exchange, Trump must facilitate the next phase of the Abraham Accords.
Reports suggest Trump has already discussed concluding the Gaza War with Netanyahu within a two-week timeframe, although this has yet to be confirmed.
This is a moment that could redefine history. Saudi Arabia’s potential normalization with Israel hinges on meaningful progress toward a Palestinian state. With Gaza resolved and leadership established, normalization with Saudi Arabia could follow.
There’s a chance others could join under a new political framework, like Oman, and possibly even Lebanon. The Syrian regime, desperate for international legitimacy, might show favorable intentions as well.
Recently, Netanyahu stated that Israel aims for a “dramatic expansion of the peace agreement.”
Trump has positioned himself to extend the Abraham Accords, thereby integrating Israel, moderate Arab nations, and a weakened Iran, all under US oversight, into a cohesive regional security framework.
This could rejuvenate the region. Israel would gain unprecedented legitimacy and integration, while Palestinians would receive governance and reconstruction support, paving the way for their political relevance. The US would also regain its standing as a key player in the Middle East.
While these outcomes aren’t guaranteed, they remain within reach. The current dynamics seem favorable for such developments.
