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Statisticians criticize Trump for BLS dismissal: ‘Worrying example’

Statisticians criticize Trump for BLS dismissal: ‘Worrying example’

On Friday, statisticians expressed their disapproval after President Trump dismissed Erica Mantelfer, the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, claiming her reports were inaccurate following a disappointing employment growth report from July.

Former BLS Chief William Beach criticized the decision, labeling the allegations against Mantelfer as “completely unfounded.” He voiced concerns while representing the organization he co-chairs, emphasizing that this move sets a troubling precedent that jeopardizes the bureau’s statistical mission.

Beach’s observations were shared in a post on social media, where he expressed his dismay over the firing of his successor, stating it undermines the integrity of the BLS. The recent employment report had already adjusted the previously reported job growth for May and June downward by 258,000 positions.

The BLS organization released a statement condemning the leadership change, asserting that Trump’s accusations—that Mantelfer had deliberately reported false numbers to undermine his administration—were unfounded. They stressed that such claims damage the credibility of the dedicated staff who compile the agency’s monthly reports.

The statement further warned that this marks an “unprecedented attack” on the autonomy and integrity of the federal statistical system, suggesting that the President was trying to shift blame for negative economic news. They clarified that the commissioner’s role is merely to report what the data indicates without political bias.

In response to the adjustments to the job reports, Trump expressed skepticism, remarking on social media, “Can’t anyone do that wrong? We need accurate work numbers.” He urged for Mantelfer’s swift replacement, insisting that this role requires fairness and should not be influenced by political agendas.

Democrats interpreted the firing as an attempt to manipulate data for political purposes, and this sentiment appears to have impacted the market. By Saturday morning, the Dow Jones had dropped 542 points, with the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 also experiencing declines.

Senator Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii) described the situation as “absolutely crazy,” suggesting that Trump’s actions demonstrate authoritarian tendencies. Another Democrat, Senator Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.), echoed this sentiment, criticizing the dismissal of what he called the “messenger.” Senator Cory Booker (D-N.J.) likened the situation to a disturbing, authoritarian trend, referencing Orwellian themes.

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