A recent poll released on Tuesday indicates that Zoran Mamdani, a Democratic candidate for mayor, holds a significant 20-point advantage in the race for New York City Hall.
Mamdani leads former governor Andrew Cuomo and independent candidates with 45% to Cuomo’s 25%. The Republican contender, Curtis Sliwa, is polling at 9%, while the current mayor, Eric Adams, also has 8% support.
The situation appears even more challenging for his competitors as Mamdani has garnered substantial backing from Black and Hispanic voters, putting him in a strong position for the upcoming Democratic primary in June.
Research reveals that Mamdani outpaces Cuomo two-to-one among minority voters.
Support among Black voters shows approximately 53% favoring Mamdani, compared to 21% for Cuomo, 10% for Adams, and just 2% for Sliwa.
Among Hispanic voters, Mamdani receives 52% support, while Cuomo receives 22%. Sliwa is at 8%, Adams has 7%, and the remainder are undecided or leaning towards other minor candidates.
Furthermore, 58% of Asian voters back Mamdani, whereas Cuomo secures only 20%, with 9% for Sliwa and 4% for Adams.
White voters appear more split, yet Mamdani maintains 38% support, with Cuomo at 30%, Sliwa at 13%, and Adams at 9%. The rest are undecided or supporting other minor candidates.
Both Cuomo and Adams are running on independent tickets. Adams opted out of the Democratic primary amidst controversy from a federal corruption charge, which was later dismissed by the Trump administration.
The latest survey confirms that Mamdani leads Cuomo by 45% to 25%.
In addition, it’s noted that Sliwa has seen more varied support in other polls. For instance, the Marist University Poll conducted a week prior showed him with 17% support.
Current Mayor Adams trails behind, receiving just 8% of the vote.
Recent responses to the mayoral race indicate that affordability (21%), crime (20%), and the economy/employment (14%) are the most pressing issues on voters’ minds.
David Perelogos, director of the Suffolk University Center for Political Studies, noted, “This poll illustrates that New Yorkers are primarily concerned about affordability, crime, and the economy in this election.”
The Suffolk City View Survey conducted live telephone interviews with 500 general election voters from September 16th to 18th, with a margin of error of ±4.4 percentage points.
