A recent poll reveals that while President Trump has lost some ground with key voting groups in the 2024 election, support for the Democratic Party among Latino voters has remained steady.
The UnidosUS survey, which included 3,000 registered Hispanic voters, indicates that 54% of Latinos plan to support Democratic House candidates in the upcoming midterm elections. In contrast, 27% plan to vote Republican, while 19% are undecided.
This figure of 54% mirrors the support for Democratic House candidates recorded in 2024, according to CBS News exit polls.
However, exit polls from 2024 also showed a noticeable drop in Latino support for Democrats compared to earlier elections. Specifically, the breakdown shows that Democrats received 60% of the Latino vote during the 2022 House race, 63% in 2020, and 69% in 2018.
UnidosUS, a civil rights group advocating for Latino interests, noted that support for Democrats hasn’t increased. Interestingly, around 25% of Hispanic Trump supporters indicated they might reconsider their choice if given another chance.
Among those who backed Trump in 2024, a quarter expressed they “probably would not vote for Trump again” or were “certain” they wouldn’t if they had the opportunity to redo their vote. Still, a significant 75% indicated they would lean toward voting for Trump again regardless.
The poll, conducted from April 27 to May 14, found that 60% of Latinos held a “very favorable” or “somewhat favorable” view of Congressional Democrats, while 31% had a “somewhat unfavorable” or “very unfavorable” view.
In comparison, only 34% of respondents viewed Congressional Republicans positively, with a notable 58% expressing unfavorable opinions.
In the hotly contested Texas Senate race, Democratic candidate James Talarico appears to have garnered more support from Latino voters than his Republican opponent, Ken Paxton. About 51% of Texas Latinos plan to support Talarico or are leaning towards him, compared to 24% for Paxton, with 18% still undecided.
This survey was conducted prior to Paxton’s victory in the recent Republican primary runoff.
