Former President Trump's federal conviction for his efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election would hurt him more than convictions in other cases, a new poll finds.
of Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll A hypothetical general election matchup showed Mr. Trump leading President Biden by 7 points. However, Biden leads Trump by 4 points, 52% to 48%, if the former president is convicted in connection with the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot.
Convictions in other cases against Trump would make the race even tougher, but Trump still leads Biden among respondents. Polls show Trump would still lead Biden by 6 points even if he were found guilty on charges of mishandling classified documents, and a lawsuit over his efforts to overturn the 2020 results suggests Trump would still lead Biden by 6 points. It turns out that even if there is a conviction, he will still lead Biden by 2 points. Georgia elections.
President Trump faces 91 indictments in four criminal cases for various alleged wrongdoings. He was first indicted in Manhattan over hush money paid to adult film star Stormy Daniels to keep her quiet about an extramarital affair ahead of prosecutors, federal elections and a Georgia lawsuit.
The poll found that 55% of respondents said President Trump committed crimes for which he should be convicted, including 84% of Democrats, 55% of independents, and 25% of Republicans. Ta. Just over 50% said Trump would be a threat to democracy if he were re-elected for another term.
Opinion polls generally show that Trump and Biden are in a close race in the general election. Both candidates appear likely to win their respective nominations, even though polls show a clear majority do not want either candidate to be their party's nominee.
The Hill/Decision Desk headquarters national polling average shows Trump leading Biden by 1 point.
The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll was conducted January 17-18 and surveyed 2,346 registered voters. This is a collaboration between Harvard University's Center for American Politics and the Harris Poll.
This survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative online sample, probability confidence intervals are not reported.
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