The German government believes that if Ukraine loses the war with Russia, up to 10 million migrants will flee the country, particularly to Germany, where its asylum system is already cracked by pressure from open borders over the past decade. There is.
Berlin expects about 10 million more people to leave the country if Russia wins, the majority heading to Western European countries, a newspaper report citing parliamentary and security sources said. Ta.
But migration researcher Gerald Knauss warns that this estimate may underestimate the number of Ukrainians seeking to live in other countries. tell of Wert am Sonntag Newspaper: “If Ukraine loses the war, more than 10 million refugees could come to the EU. This is already the largest exodus movement in Europe since the 1940s.”
“There is a big difference from the mass exodus against the backdrop of the Syrian war. Turkey has closed its border with Syria and built a wall. The EU is not going to do this with respect to Ukraine. [Europe] We do not want the number of refugees to increase, but now we must help Ukraine win a defensive war. ”
Roderich Kiesewetter, a member of parliament from the centrist Christian Democratic Union (CDU), said: “If we do not change our strategy of supporting Ukraine, the worst-case scenario will occur – a mass exodus from Ukraine and an escalation of security.” ” he added. The likelihood of war with NATO countries will be much higher. The number of 10 million refugees would then be underestimated. ”
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the United Nations Refugee Agency (UNHCR) has Over 6 million people Millions more have fled abroad and been forced from their homes within the country.
Germany is “sleepwalking into a new migration crisis”, warns major EU politicians https://t.co/JAw0wDoNBP
— Breitbart London (@BreitbartLondon) December 4, 2022
Germany is one of the main destinations for Ukrainian refugees, with around 1.1 million Ukrainians having moved to Germany since 2022, second only to Poland among European countries.
This comes on top of the continuing wave of illegal immigration into the country, with around 127,000 “illegal entries” being intercepted by German law enforcement in 2023, the highest level since the European migration crisis in 2015. became.
More than 350,000 immigrants are currently in the country illegally with no prospect of deportation due to a lax crackdown by Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s leftist government, said Heiko Tegatz, head of Germany’s police union.This is in addition to legal asylum entry, as German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier Admitted The country’s system reached “breaking point” in September.
Europe and other Western countries opened their doors to Ukrainians fleeing war in 2022, but there was a common assumption that they would be more likely to return to their homeland than migrants from the Middle East or Africa. .
However, a survey conducted last July by Germany’s Federal Office for Migration and Refugees and the Federal Institute for Population Research found that 44% of Ukrainians who entered the country since the start of the war remained in Germany “permanently” or for at least a year. It turned out that he wanted to stay. “A few more years.” In contrast, only 31% said they wanted to return to their hometown.
more recent investigationA survey conducted in September by Canada’s Pathfinders organization found that 90 per cent of Ukrainian refugees wanted to remain in Canada. Some 79 per cent said they would still want to remain in Canada even if the war were to end, indicating a potentially growing reluctance among the Ukrainian diaspora to return to their homeland.
Is it a threat?Zelenskiy warns Ukrainians in Europe could take ‘unexpected’ actions if Western aid is cuthttps://t.co/EAtH5PhNmo
— Breitbart London (@BreitbartLondon) September 13, 2023
