Former Gov. Larry Hogan (R-Md.), who declared his candidacy for the Maryland Senate on Friday, is running for the seat of retiring Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.) in the virtual general election. In the matchup, he is already tied or ahead of the top two Democratic candidates. According to an Emerson College poll.
Hogan’s strong performance in blue Maryland is a big problem for Democrats. I voted Democrats in every Senate race since 1986.
In a hypothetical general election race held just days after Hogan’s sudden announcement, polls show Hogan and leading Democratic candidate Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) in a close race with 42 percent each. is unfolding. show. A further 16% of respondents are undecided about who they would support in this situation.
📊 Maryland Poll: Emerson
Sen:
Larry Hogan (R): 44% (+7)
Angela Alsobrooks (Democrat): 37%
.
Larry Hogan (R): 42% (=)
David Trone (Democrat): 42%
—
Dem Sen:
Tron: 32% (+15)
Alzo Brooks: 17%
—
press:
Biden: 55% (+23)
Trump: 32%
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538 Rank: #8 (2.9/3.0) | RV | 2/12~13https://t.co/MmZXc63X4v pic.twitter.com/vXjKth3nKQ— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) February 15, 2024
In the match between Hogan and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks (Democratic), moderate Republicans lead with 44% support to Hogan’s 37%, while the percentage of undecided voters rose to 19%. do.
On March 15, 2023, at the Samuel Riggs IV Alumni Center in College Park, Maryland, Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks gave the State of the County Budget Address and formally announced the 2024 budget proposal ( Image by Marvin Joseph/The Washington Post via Getty).
Hogan has been critical of former President Donald Trump and is currently leading the Republican primary by a wide margin. Among those planning to vote in the Republican primary, he has an approval rating of 43%, while none of the other five candidates reach 7%. The remaining 43% of respondents are undecided.
On the Democratic side, Tron, founder of the Total Wines & More brand, leads the party with a support rating of 32% to Albrooks’ 17%. No other candidate has more than 4%, and 37% of likely Democratic voters are aiming to win.
Mr. Hogan’s entry into the race on Friday has major implications not only for the Maryland Senate race, but also for the national battle between Republicans and Democrats for the majority in the next Congress.
The 2024 Senate map is extremely favorable to Republicans, with 23 Democratic seats up for election this year and only 11 Republicans. Moreover, the two best Democratic chances to win, the seats of Sens. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) and Ted Cruz (R-Texas), are a long shot.
Conversely, Republicans have a realistic chance of winning 10 of the 23 Democratic seats in November, and Hogan is now in the fray. In January, Breitbart News extensively detailed a four-step plan for Republicans to take control of the Senate, which at the time had a legitimate chance with nine seats.
The poll also assessed the likelihood of a presidential matchup between President Trump and President Joe Biden, showing Biden with a 55% to 32% advantage in Maryland in a hypothetical binary race. It turns out that there is something. With the addition of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., independent candidate Cornel West, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, the lead over Mr. Trump has narrowed to 16 points.
The poll sampled 1,000 registered voters in the state from February 12 to 13 and has a confidence interval of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
