A previously closed public opinion poll found that Marine Le Pen’s populist party, Rally the People, could win a majority in parliament if France’s parliament is dissolved and snap elections are held. .
In another example of the growing popularity of the populist right in France, in December a survey commissioned by the centrist République (LR) found that former presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) It was revealed that there is a possibility of winning 305 seats. in the Diet if a snap election is held.
A private Ipsos poll of 4,000 French voters suggests that the RN is likely to secure a relative or full majority (currently 289 seats) and therefore control parliament. Ta. lobs magazine report. This also means a significant increase in support compared to the 2022 parliamentary elections, where the party could receive more than three times as many votes as the 89 it received two years ago.
By comparison, polls suggest that Macron’s En Marche and minority government coalition partners MoDem and Horizon Group can only win between 117 and 165 people, with a 245 It turned out that the number of people in attendance had decreased, and it was far less than the national rally.
Meanwhile, the left-wing NUPES group will only win 55 to 79 seats, a significant decrease from the 131 it won in 2022. Finally, a survey of centrists predicts that support for the Republican Party will remain largely unchanged. -Right-wing parties will have 55 to 79 members in the Diet, but the number of members in 2022 is 62.
In response to the survey, an RN spokesperson said: “If the people vote, the people win!”
Vox Populi, Vox Dei: Populist parties will proliferate across Europe in 2023 as people reject open-border globalismhttps://t.co/D7zMMJMZhy
— Kurt Zindulka (@KurtZindulka) January 1, 2024
The investigation suggests that Macron’s attempts to pass an immigration bill from a minority position have been blocked by the opposition National Assembly, left-wing parties and the left-wing La France Insoumise party, leading to the possibility that parliament will be dissolved in December. It was carried out amid suggestions that there was a possibility of Whether the president can effectively govern the country. Ultimately, the move led Macron to push for tougher immigration laws, which were passed with support from the RN.
Although this poll should be taken with a grain of salt given the difficulty of projecting national sentiment onto the 577 individual regional races, it is another important indicator of the changing political climate within France. .
Previously abandoned and ignored as a “far-right” fringe party, the National Rally has now become a political heavyweight and potentially the most powerful party in the country.
Marine Le Pen is set to succeed President Emmanuel Macron when his second and final term ends in 2028, despite having failed in three previous attempts to climb the Elysée Palace. He is the clear frontrunner in the race.
In the near future, this survey will further confirm the National Rally’s strong position ahead of the European Parliament elections in June. A separate Ipsos poll this month found the populist right-wing party held a 13-point lead over Mr Macron’s group, three months before voters went to the polls.
French populist’s approval ratings reach record high, likely to defeat Macron in EU parliamentary elections https://t.co/CukNNJ5wqq
— Breitbart London (@BreitbartLondon) February 15, 2024
