Former President Donald Trump has an advantage over President Joe Biden in crowded races in six battleground states as the general election gets underway, according to a series of polls sponsored by Emerson College. . hill and Nexstar Media.
Emerson College and hill It came out of Arizona, Nevada, Michigan and Wisconsin and was published on Wednesdays and Thursdays. In these states, Trump leads Biden in a five-way race against third-party candidates. He also has an advantage in head-to-head contests involving thinner senators in three of those states, and is neck-and-neck with Biden in another. These polls follow polls in Pennsylvania and Georgia, which showed Trump in the lead in both virtual election formats.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill
arizona
Trump 46% (+8)
Biden 38%
RFK Junior 7%
Stein 2%
West 1%
—
georgia
Trump 44% (+7)
Biden 37%
RFK Junior 5%
West 2%
Stein 1%
—
nevada
Trump 41% (+5)
Biden 36%
RFK Junior 9%
Stein 2%
West 1%
—
Pennsylvania
… https://t.co/q3KcrECUk6 pic.twitter.com/NTIdwYW4gJ— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) March 21, 2024
arizona
According to Emerson College, in a two-way race in the Grand Canyon State, Trump leads Biden 52% to 48%, including those with leaning leanings. hill public opinion poll, that is sampled 1,000 registered voters in Arizona from March 12-15. Confidence intervals are ± 3 percentage points.
The addition of third-party candidates widens the gap between Trump and Biden. In this scenario, Trump would lead with 46%, followed by Biden with 38% and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. with 7%. From there, 1% support independent Cornel West and 2% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein. 7% don’t know who to support.
nevada
President Trump in Nevada 2 point lead In head-to-head competition, including those with leaning leanings, he outperforms Biden, with confidence within ±3 percentage points. Among a sample of 1,000 registered voters from March 12 to 15, Mr. Biden’s approval rating was 51%;
nevada poll and @thehill & @8NewsNow
2024 presidential election
44% Trump
41% Biden
15% undeterminedFor pending pushes:
51% Trump
49% Bidenhttps://t.co/VU13lyYhIa pic.twitter.com/Vx3JZfQ7bS— Emerson College Polling (@EmersonPolling) March 20, 2024
In the five-way race, Trump’s lead has expanded to 5 points. Among respondents, 41% voted for Trump, 36% supported Biden and 9% were Kennedy supporters. In this scenario, Mr. West has 2% support, Mr. Stein has 1% support, and 11% are undecided. KLAS-TV is hill.
michigan
In the Wolverine State, Trump and Biden are tied at 50%, including undecided voters, according to Emerson College. hill The poll of 1,000 registered voters in Michigan was released Thursday. Without rounding, Trump leads with 50.3% to Biden’s 49.7%.
michigan poll and @thehill
2024 presidential election
45% playing cards
44% Biden
11% undecidedFor pending pushes:
50% playing cards
50% Bidenhttps://t.co/39aBXOoZkb pic.twitter.com/qerIRLyDAW— Emerson College Polling (@EmersonPolling) March 21, 2024
The 45th president gained a two-point advantage in a crowded race, just within the poll’s confidence interval of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Trump’s response was 43% and Biden’s 41%. Kennedy was third with 5%, followed by Stein and West with 1% each. One in ten voters are unsure who to support.
The poll is carried out From March 14th to 18th.
wisconsin
In the neighboring Rust Belt state of Wisconsin, where there are no other voters, Trump has a four-point lead over Biden, 52% to 48% when lean voters are included. poll, published Thursday’s survey was conducted March 14-18 among 1,000 registered voters and has a confidence interval of 3 percent.
In the five-way race, Trump’s lead narrows to just 3 points, with 43% of respondents backing Trump and 40% backing Biden. Mr. Kennedy’s approval rating is 6%, while Mr. West and Mr. Stein each have 1%. One in 10 voters in the Badger State is undecided.
Pennsylvania
According to Emerson College, hill According to a poll released on March 14, the former president holds a 52% to 48% advantage over Biden in the head-to-head race in Pennsylvania.The poll is carried out Survey of 1,000 registered voters from March 10 to 13, confidence interval is ± 3 percent.
Pennsylvania poll and @thehill
2024 presidential election
Trump 47%
Biden 43%
10% undecidedMarch 10-13, 2024, n=1,000, +/-3%https://t.co/U8uDrejUGk pic.twitter.com/QuOz3FmZc8
— Emerson College Polling (@EmersonPolling) March 14, 2024
The gap between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden in the broader field remains just 4 percentage points. Trump has 44%, ahead of Biden’s 40%. 5% support Kennedy. Mr. West and Mr. Stein are tied at 1%, but 8% are undecided about who they will vote for.
georgia
Finally, a Georgia Emerson College/Nexstar Media poll of 1,000 registered voters released on March 13 found Trump leading Biden 52% to 48%, with an undecided Supporters were also included.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill (with leaner)
georgia
Trump 52% (+4)
Biden 48%
.
Pennsylvania
Trump 52% (+4)
Biden 48%
.
wisconsin
Trump 52% (+4)
Biden 48%
.
arizona
Trump 52% (+4)
Biden 48%
.
nevada
Trump 51% (+2)
Biden 49%
.
michigan
Trump… pic.twitter.com/gMiN3S0EO3— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) March 21, 2024
As the field expands, so does the 45th president’s command. He received 44% of responses, seven points ahead of Biden, who received 37%. Mr. Kennedy received 5% support, while Mr. West and Mr. Stein received 2% and 1% support, respectively.
The poll was conducted March 5-7 and recorded a confidence interval of plus or minus 3 percentage points.


