The impending November rematch between President Biden and former President Trump is a close race, according to a Harvard CAPS Harris Poll shared with The Hill.
The latest poll shows that in a head-to-head race, Mr. Trump would lead Mr. Biden by just 2 percentage points, with about 9% of voters undecided. Although Republicans still have an advantage, it has narrowed from the 6-point lead they recorded in February.
Trump, who forced undecided voters to make a choice, won 51% of the vote to Biden’s 49%, still up just 2 points, but down from last month’s 6-point lead.
“Despite the close race, Trump continued to lead Biden after the State of the Union,” said Mark Penn, co-director of the poll. He said: “Twenty percent of independents say they are undecided, and they are likely to be unstable voters deciding who will win.”
The lead between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden narrowed even further in a three-way race against independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in virtual voting. Last month’s poll showed Trump up 7 points, but the latest poll shows Trump leading Biden by just 3 points, while Kennedy has 15% support, with an additional 7% undecided. It remained.
As more candidates join the field, the former president will gain an even greater lead. Independent candidate Cornel West and the Green Party’s Jill Stein are also running alongside Kennedy, giving Trump a 5-point lead over Biden, but this month’s lead is up from a 9-point lead in February. It’s still small.
There are signs that the race is heating up, with Trump and Biden winning the delegates needed to win their respective parties’ nominations earlier this month, and a rematch scheduled for November.
Polls show many Americans fear the idea of a showdown between Biden and Trump, and the race is expected to be close.
The survey was conducted March 20-21 among 2,111 registered voters by Harris Poll and Harris
Results are weighted for age among gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party, and political ideology as necessary to match actual proportions in the population. It was done. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ online tendencies.
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