Former President Donald Trump is ahead of President Joe Biden in six of the seven key battleground states and the rest of his likely opponent in the general election, according to a Morning Consult/Bloomberg News poll. leading the state.
poll, released Tuesday showed Trump ahead of Biden and third-party candidates in every battleground state except Michigan, where the 45th and 46th presidents have a tie. Trump has an advantage over Biden in the larger field, but the gap narrows in a hypothetical direct election with no third-party candidates, with Biden narrowly leading in one state.
Bloomberg/MC poll on Trump, Biden, RFK Jr., West, Stein matchups in battleground states:
• North Carolina: Trump +6
• Pennsylvania: Trump +6
• Arizona: Trump +6
• Nevada: Trump +6
• Georgia: Trump +7
• Wisconsin: Trump +2
• Michigan State: Tie.
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Trump 45% (+6)
Biden… https://t.co/izCJQg6CyB pic.twitter.com/X75HVDsXn3— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) March 26, 2024
Arizona:
Polls show Trump leading Biden in both the five-way and two-way races in Arizona. Trump leads the poll with an approval rating of 43%, followed by Biden with 37%.
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s 12% was good enough for third place, while independent Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein had 2% and 1%, respectively. Additionally, he believes that 4% of respondents are unsure who to support and 1% will not vote.
If Mr. Trump were to face Mr. Biden alone in a two-way race in the Grand Canyon State, Mr. Trump would lead 48% to 43%. Three percent of respondents said they would not vote, and 5% said they had no intention of voting.
The poll surveyed 796 registered voters from March 8 to 14 and has a margin of error (MOE) of plus or minus 3 percentage points for the state.
playing cards carried In 2016, Biden narrowly won Arizona by a narrow margin of 3.5 percentage points over presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, who lost the race twice. won In 2020, it increased by 0.3%.
Georgia:
In Georgia, another state that went red for Trump in 2016 and blue for Biden in 2020, Trump held a 7-point lead over Biden in both the crowded field and the head-to-head contest. ing.
In the five-person race, Trump leads with 45% support, followed by Biden with 38% and Kennedy with 7%. From there, Mr. West gets his 2 percent, Mr. Stein cannot sit on the board, and his 4 percent of respondents is undecided.
In the head-to-head race, Trump leads Biden 49% to 42%. 5% were unsure who they would support and 4% said they would not vote.
The survey sampled 788 registered voters in Georgia from March 8-12. MOE is ± 3 percent.
michigan
Trump and Biden are deadlocked in both variations of the Michigan race. Both men received 40% support each in contests with third-party candidates. Kennedy failed to reach double digits with 9 percent, while West had 3 percent and Stein 2 percent.
Five percent of respondents are undecided, while two percent would vote for someone else or not participate in the election if it was their choice.
With third-party options removed, Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump each received 5% support, leaving them tied at 45%. 4% don’t plan to vote, and 7% don’t know who to support.
Like Arizona and Georgia, Trump won Michigan in 2016, but Biden won it in 2020.
The Morning Consult/Bloomberg News poll was conducted March 8-12 among 698 registered voters in the Wolverine State. MOE is ±4%.
Nevada:
Polls in the Silver State, which voted Democratic in the 2016 and 2020 elections, show Trump in the lead in both election formats, but third-party candidates have helped widen the gap with Biden. are doing.
In the race against Kennedy, Stein and West, Trump came in first with 42%, followed by Biden with 36%. Eleven percent of respondents supported Mr. Kennedy, while Mr. West and Mr. Stein were tied at 1%. His 2 percent of those surveyed believe they would not vote if these were their options, and 7 percent are undecided.
Mr. Trump’s lead has shrunk to 2 percentage points, leaving Mr. Biden as his only opponent. Trump’s approval rating is 46%, while Biden’s is 44%. Six percent of voters said they intended to participate in the election, and 4 percent said they would abstain from voting.
For a small sample of 447 registered voters in Nevada, the MOE is ± 5 percent. Samples were taken from March 8th to 15th.
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In North Carolina’s crowded race, Trump leads the pack with 45%. Biden follows with 39%, while Kennedy appeals to 7% of voters. Mr. West received 1% support, while Mr. Stein failed to secure an approval rating. Another 3 percent of poll participants would not vote if these were their choices, and 4 percent were unsure who they would vote for.
By removing Kennedy, West and Stein as candidates, Trump maintained his 6-point lead over Biden. He received 49% of the vote, while Biden received 43%. Of the remaining respondents, his 4 percent are undecided and 4 percent believe they will decline to vote.
The March 8-12 poll included a sample of 699 registered voters in the Tar Heel State. MOE is ±4%.
Pennsylvania
As in Nevada, polling data suggests that a crowded race in Pennsylvania favors Mr. Trump compared to a head-to-head contest with Mr. Biden.
In the five-way race, Trump leads with 44%, followed by Biden with 38% and Kennedy with 7%. While Stein gets one point for support, West fails to participate. His 7 percent of respondents had no opinion and 1 percent said they would not vote if these were the candidates.
Third-party candidates hurt Biden in Pennsylvania considering that if they were removed, Biden would gain 7%, while Trump would only gain 1%. Because of that. The 45th and 46th presidents have an approval rating of 45 percent, which is a tie. In the rematch between Biden and Trump, 4% of respondents said they would not vote, and 6% have applied to vote.
Morning Consult and Bloomberg surveyed 807 registered voters in Pennsylvania between March 8 and March 12. MOE is ±3%.
Wisconsin:
Finally, polls in Wisconsin showed Mr. Trump with a narrow deep lead in the race between the two candidates, and Mr. Biden with a slight lead over Mr. Trump. Of the Badger State respondents surveyed, 41% supported Trump, 39% supported Biden, and 10% said they would vote for Kennedy Jr. West and Stein, 1% each. Obtained. 5% are undecided and 1% intend not to participate in the election.
In a head-to-head race, Biden leads Trump 46% to 45%. 5% plan not to vote, and 4% are still undecided.
The poll includes responses from 697 registered voters in the Badger State collected from March 8-14. MOE is ±4 percentage points.
