Democrats may have been hoping Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s prosecution of former President Donald Trump would hurt their 2024 campaign, but recent polls suggest the process will It has been shown that there is no significant impact on the likelihood of
President Trump begins the fourth week of his New York trial on Monday, where he faces 34 felonies related to allegations that he falsified business records when repaying a payment to porn star Stormy Daniels in 2016. is being asked. Several polls released since jury selection began on April 15 suggest that the possibility of a conviction will not deter voters from supporting Trump in November. they discovered. And people across the country say they don’t believe the former president did anything illegal or that he was treated fairly in Bragg’s case.
“Millions of Americans are outraged by this kangaroo court, and it shows in recent polling data,” veteran Republican strategist Mark Weaver told the Daily Caller News Foundation. “Dozens of partisan officials, most of them working with President Biden and the Biden Justice Department, are using taxpayer dollars and precious court resources to undermine Trump long before voters make a decision. If you’re trying to overthrow the president, it’s natural for people to be angry.” (Related: ‘Trial by ambush’: Former federal prosecutor says Alvin Bragg’s strategy is unlike anything he’s seen before)
An April 30 Emerson College poll found that a majority of voters in battleground states in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania said they would vote guilty in the case. They said they would not be deterred from supporting Mr. Trump in 2024 even if there was a possibility that he would be rejected. Several independent voters, a key voting bloc in this election, said the conviction would have “no effect” on whether they support the former president.
According to a CNN/SSRS poll released on April 25, 76% of registered Trump voters said they would vote for Trump regardless of his conviction in the Bragg case. The survey also found that a majority of Americans, 56%, are not confident that Manhattan juries can reach a fair verdict.
An AP/NORC poll released on April 16 found that only 35% of Americans believe President Trump acted illegally regarding the New York scandal. The poll also found that only 31% of respondents said they were “very” or “very confident” that Trump was being treated fairly by prosecutors.
Some Democrats appear optimistic that while Trump’s trial could hurt his standing among voters heading into November, it could also help Biden.
“Trump has lost the popular vote twice and has plenty of room to make up for his loss in 2020,” said Jim Messina, former President Barack Obama’s re-election campaign manager. Said The Hill. “With full coverage of Trump’s campaign coming out of the courts, it will be difficult to sway support for floating votes.”
Democratic strategist Katie Grant Drew echoed some of Messina’s sentiments, saying that the trial is “a sharp contrast between President Biden’s focus on getting the job done for the American people and President Trump’s priorities going forward.” There will be a clear contrast,” he told the media. He was focusing on his own personal legal tribulations. ”
Rachel Lee, a spokeswoman for the Republican National Committee, accused Democrats of “pinning their hopes on a show trial when voters see it as a political witch hunt.”
“Meanwhile, soaring Bidenflation is hitting Americans hard, and Biden has yet to condemn pro-Hamas mobs wreaking havoc on college campuses across the country,” Lee said. said the DCNF in a statement. “No wonder Joe Biden loses to Donald J. Trump in every battleground state.”
Plus, NPR/PBS/Marist poll The survey, conducted from April 22nd to April 25th, found that a majority of Americans disapprove of President Trump’s New York trial, with 55% disapproving and 45% approving. found.
Scott Jennings, a veteran Republican strategist and campaign veteran, said that while a Trump conviction “wouldn’t necessarily be helpful,” there was “no question that this case is the least serious.” thinking.
“A liberal prosecutor using a novel legal theory to pursue felonies against an opposition leader to disrupt his campaign? It’s pretty ridiculous, to be honest,” Jennings told DCNF. “There’s something even more important going on in the world. Biden has lost all control. And the Democrats are trying to convict Trump of failing to provide proper sex documentation. Give him a break.”
Prosecutors will say Trump’s actions related to allegations that he paid former porn actress Stormy Daniels $130,000 to keep quiet about an affair were part of a broader plan to interfere in the 2016 election. It is said that
Trump has been restricted from campaigning in recent weeks due to court proceedings and was fined $9,000 by Judge Juan Mercian for repeatedly violating the gag order.The former president was able to hold two rallies in 2018 wisconsin and michigan during a court recess Wednesday.
New York County District Attorney at a press conference after former President Donald Trump appeared in Manhattan Criminal Court after a Manhattan grand jury indicted him following an investigation into hush money paid to New York City porn star Stormy Daniels. Alvin Bragg looks on. , USA, April 4, 2023. (Reuters/Brendan McDiarmid/File Photo)
RealClearPolitics currently has Trump leading Biden by 1.5 points. average This was a slight increase from his previous 0.3 point difference when the trial began. In battleground states, the former president leads by 1 to 5.4 points. arizona, georgia, nevada, north carolina, michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania.
Kyle Kondik, a nonpartisan polling analyst and editor-in-chief of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, warned that the impact of the trial on the campaign likely won’t be known until after the verdict.
“There is little indication that this case has had any impact on the race,” Kondik told DCNF. “We will have to wait for the verdict to see if there will be any impact in any case, but even then, it is very likely that nothing will change.”
The Manhattan case appears to be the only one in which Trump will go to trial before November, as three other indictments on charges of mishandling classified documents and interfering in the 2020 election have been delayed in court.
John McLaughlin, President Trump’s pollster and CEO of McLaughlin & Associates, told DCNF that the former president’s “brazen defiance of the Biden prosecutors made him a sympathetic figure.” “I’m doing it,” he said.
“The Biden campaign’s efforts to indict and convict President Trump of false crimes are backfiring. Biden will turn Trump into America’s Nelson Mandela,” McLaughlin said. “Joe Biden is corrupt and desperate and it shows.”
McLaughlin pointed to the latest national direction for DCNF. poll A poll released on April 17 found that 66% of voters believe the four charges against Trump were politically motivated, and 53% said jailing Biden would help re-elect the former president. He replied that he was trying to prevent this.
“They know that if Biden can persecute President Trump, he can persecute any American,” McLaughlin added.
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