A new Quinnipiac University poll shows that President Biden’s lead in the critical state of Wisconsin will shrink to almost zero if a third-party candidate enters the race.
In a hypothetical head-to-head race, Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump by 6 points, 50% to 44%, according to the Quinnipiac poll, but the gap narrows to just 1 point when third-party candidates are included.
“In a country at odds over war and the economy, abortion, immigration, and the very existence of democracy, there is one thing we agree on right now: There is no sunset between the candidates. It’s a tie.” said Tim Malloy, a Quinnipiac University polling analyst.
inside Quinnipiac University Poll Of the 1,457 registered voters, Mr. Biden received 40% of the vote, compared to 39% for Mr. Trump and 12% for independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Green Party candidate Jill Stein won 4% and independent candidate Cornel West 1%.
The poll suggests third-party candidates could be a big factor in the state, which has flipped from Democratic to Republican and back to Democratic in the past three presidential elections.
Kennedy is supported by 8% of Republicans, 5% of Democrats and 20% of independents.
Mr. Stein has the support of 5% of Democrats and 6% of independents, while Mr. West has the support of 3% of independents, but statistically he has less support from Republicans and Democrats. There isn’t.
The survey includes Democratic-leaning respondents in the Democratic group and Republican-leaning respondents in the Republican group.
Biden and Trump are tied at 44.8 percent each, according to The Hill/Decision Desk’s average national poll.
In a hypothetical three-way race against Kennedy, Trump would lead the national poll average by 1.1 points at 41.2%, followed by Biden at 40.1% and Kennedy at 8.5%.
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted May 2-6. The margin of error is 2.6 percentage points.
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