Monday’s poll showed former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in five key battleground states for a head-to-head showdown ahead of a November rematch, with a strong lead among Black and Hispanic voters. It turns out that support is growing.
Trump is first Biden holds a 13-point lead among likely voters in Nevada, nine points in Georgia, six points in Arizona, three points in Pennsylvania and one point in Wisconsin. according to Based on new research from The New York Times/Siena College. Biden leads in just one state, Michigan, by 47% to 45%. (Related: Biden is running out of time to boost his dismal poll numbers in key battleground states)
Furthermore, in public opinion polls, found Mr. Trump is closing the gap with Mr. Biden among two key voting groups that Democrats typically win by large margins: blacks and Hispanics. Across the six battleground states, Biden leads President Trump by a margin of 70% to 18% among black voters and 47% to 42% among Hispanic voters.
Margin is smaller than NYT/Siena College’s previous margin poll The same is true for exit polls from the 2020 election in the same battleground states. Biden won black voters and Hispanic voters by 75 points and 33 points, respectively. according to To Edison Research.
Including independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other third-party candidates in the poll widens Trump’s lead in Nevada, Arizona and Pennsylvania, while the former president’s lead narrows in Wisconsin. No change, 1 point drop in Georgia. Biden’s lead in Michigan jumped from 1 point to 3 points.
President Trump is by a narrow margin won In 2016, he won Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, but lost them all to Biden in the next cycle.nevada went Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Biden in 2020.
File photo: U.S. President Joe Biden holds a press conference about his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping before the start of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Woodside, California, U.S., November 15, 2023. (November 15, 2023). Reuters/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo)
According to the poll, President Trump had a lead in Nevada, Pennsylvania, Arizona and Wisconsin, but the Republican Senate candidate did not. Democratic Nevada Sen. Jacky Rosen and Republican Sam Brown were tied at 41%. Democratic Sen. Bob Casey had a two-point lead over Republican David McCormick. Arizona Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego had a 3-point lead over Republican Kari Lake. Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin led Republican Eric Hovde by 7 points.
The Real Clear Politics average In a direct showdown with Biden in 2024, Trump has a 1.2 point lead nationally, with the former president leading in seven battleground states.President Trump leads by 6.2 points nevada5.4 points north carolina5.2 point lead arizona4.6 point lead georgia2 points ahead pennsylvania0.8 point lead michigan 0.6 point lead wisconsin.
The NYT/Siena College poll surveyed 4,097 likely general election voters between April 28 and May 9, and had a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points. When examined individually, Pennsylvania had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points. In Arizona, it’s 4.2%. 4.5% in Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin; Georgia’s rate is 4.6%.
Neither the Trump nor Biden campaigns immediately responded to requests for comment from the Daily Caller News Foundation.
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