Former President Trump holds an advantage in five of the six battleground states. president biden Four years ago, according to a new poll.
A poll released Monday by The New York Times, Siena College and the Philadelphia Inquirer found dissatisfaction with the economy and the Israeli-Hamas war in the Gaza Strip, as well as support for Biden among young, black and Hispanic voters. It suggests that deterioration is “threatening”. This is to dismantle the president’s Democratic coalition. ”
In the 2020 election, Mr. Biden narrowly won the White House over Mr. Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
But with less than six months left until Election Day, new polls show that among registered voters, Trump is 49% to 42% in Arizona, 49% to 39% in Georgia, and 49% to 39% in Michigan. Biden leads by 50%, 49% to 42%. In Nevada, he was close behind, 38% to 38%, in Pennsylvania, 47% to 44%, and in Wisconsin, Biden narrowly led, 47% to 45%.
Rematch in 2024: Trump aims to expand his power in battle with Biden
On Saturday, May 11, 2024, former President Trump, who is certain to become the Republican presidential candidate, speaks at a campaign rally in Wildwood, New Jersey. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
The 2024 rematch between the Democratic president and his Republican predecessor was a close race among a narrow pool of potential voters. Trump held an advantage in five states: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Biden led in Michigan.
The results were similar even when third-party candidates and independent candidates were added to the list, such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Democratic independent candidate for the White House.
A longtime environmental activist and high-profile vaccine skeptic, he is the scion of one of the nation’s most storied political dynasties and had about 10% support across six states. Opinion polls suggested that Mr. Kennedy received roughly equal support from both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump.
Opinion polls suggest stalemate with six months until election day
of new researchThe trial ran from April 28 to May 9, and came as President Trump made history as the first sitting or former president to be tried in a criminal case. Moreover, they come amid a massive advertising campaign by the Biden campaign across key battleground states.
But “polls show little evidence that these trends helped Mr. Biden, hurt Mr. Trump, or quelled voter dissatisfaction,” the New York Times wrote.
President Biden walks on the tarmac upon arriving at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport in SeaTac, Washington, Friday, May 10, 2024. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
The survey found that voters are dissatisfied and want change. Nearly seven in 10 people said the country’s political and economic systems needed major changes or should be dismantled completely.
Nearly three-quarters said they believed Trump would make a big difference if he won in November, but less than a quarter said the same about the president.
Polls also show that Mr. Trump has gained over voters who overwhelmingly supported Mr. Biden four years ago.
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Trump and Biden are tied among voters ages 18 to 29 and Hispanic voters. The poll also suggests the former president has the support of more than 20% of black voters, making him the first Republican presidential candidate in generations to receive more support from black voters if the vote goes live on Election Day. is the highest standard.
Polls suggest the economy continues to drag Biden down. Despite surging employment and a booming stock market, inflation remains a major issue for voters, although it has subsided over the past year. More than half of those surveyed said they still thought the economy was “poor.”
President Biden (left) and former President Trump. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon/Curtis Means/DailyMail.com via AP, Pool)
But polls show Biden maintains support with older voters and white voters, who are “far less likely to demand fundamental changes to the system,” polls show. “Most likely to say that democracy is most important,” the president remains in contention. Issue it for their vote. ”
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Abortion remains a potential issue for President Trump. Almost two-thirds of voters asked in the poll said abortion should always or mostly be legal, including 44% of voters who support the former president.
4,000+ voters People in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin were asked in the poll, and the overall sampling error for all respondents was plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. The margin of error for six states ranged from plus or minus 3.6 to 4.6 percentage points.
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