A new national poll released Friday put former President Trump ahead of his main general election rival, President Biden, by two points.
Trump received the support of 46% of American voters in the new Emerson College election. voteShe narrowly edged out Biden, who received 44 percent of the vote, putting her ahead within the margin of error. About 10 percent were undecided.
When asked which candidate they supported, both candidates received 50 percent of the vote, resulting in a tie for both candidates.
Trump holds a double-digit lead over Biden among first-time voters who did not vote in 2020. The presumptive Republican candidate received 35% of the vote, compared with Biden’s 24%. About 41% said they were undecided.
When third-party candidates are added, Trump’s approval rating drops by two points, but his lead over Biden soars.
The former president’s approval rating was 44%, five points higher than Biden’s 39%. Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 6% of the vote, while Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein received 1% each. About 10% said they were undecided.
Biden’s approval rating was 37 percent, while 52 percent disapproved.
The economy was the most important issue for voters, at 38 percent. Immigration was second at 17 percent. Threats to democracy were cited by 13 percent, while house prices, crime, abortion access and health care were each cited by 6 percent, according to the poll.
About 53% of voters said that even if Trump was convicted in the New York hush-money case (he is charged with 34 felony counts), it would not affect their vote in November. A quarter of voters, or 25%, said a conviction would make them less likely to support the Republican front-runner, while almost a quarter, or 23%, said it would make them more likely.
The poll was conducted May 21-23 among 1,100 registered voters and has a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points.
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