A new poll shows former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are tied in key states, despite the former president previously having a nearly double-digit lead.
A Detroit news WDIV-TV poll conducted after President Joe Biden dropped out of the 2024 presidential race found that Trump and Harris are tied at 41% support in Michigan, but 6% of Michigan voters remain undecided.
The poll results reflect a significant shift in support since a January survey showed Trump leading Biden in the state by 8 points.
“This couldn’t be closer,” Glengariff founder Richard Chuba said alongside the poll results.
New poll conducted after Biden’s withdrawal puts Harris closer to Trump
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event at Westover High School in Fayetteville, North Carolina, on July 18, 2024. (Alison Joyce)
About 10 percent of respondents said they would support the state’s Natural Law Party candidate, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a move that could determine the outcome of the election, Chuba said.
Trump rushes to define Harris as “more left than Bernie Sanders”
“The reality is, you shouldn’t be releasing polls in Michigan without Kennedy because Kennedy is a huge factor in this election,” Chubba said. “He’s leading with independents, and we all know that independents are what decide elections in Michigan. And now they’re split into three independents instead of two, and that totally messes with the equation.”
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer has emerged as Harris’ running mate, but the governor has said she won’t run or leave her home state. Polls show that the Harris-Whitmer pair would give Democrats a slim 3-point advantage in a hypothetical general election matchup against President Trump and Sen. J.D. Vance.
Former President Donald Trump attends a campaign event at Trump National Doral Golf Club on Tuesday, July 9, 2024, in Miami, Florida. (Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg)
Michigan voted Republican in every election from 1972 to 1988, but went on to be won by Democrats in six consecutive presidential elections from 1992 to 2012.
Trump narrowly won the 2016 presidential election against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in battleground states, but lost to Biden in the next election.
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The Glengariff Group/The News and WDIV-TV poll was conducted July 22-July 24 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
