Despite garnering mainstream media support in the early stages of the presidential campaign, Kamala Harris still has some ground to make up in the hotly contested race against Donald Trump.
that is Redfield and Wilton The survey, conducted in nine states from July 22 to 24, showed Republican candidates either leading or tied in all but one state.
Harris is leading Trump in Minnesota 44% to 41% (Robert Kennedy Jr. has 6%), while the two are tied at 44% each in Wisconsin (Kennedy has 5%), but the other figures are in the former president’s favor.
In Arizona, Sen. Mark Kelly is the Democratic vice presidential nominee under scrutiny (and even has the backing of the state party), but Trump leads Harris 46% to 43%, with Kennedy trailing by 4%.
Florida wasn’t an issue when Biden was the candidate, but Trump leads the state 47% to 39%, to Kennedy’s 5%, according to vice president campaign manager Jen O’Malley Dillon. Biden was trailing 7% the last time pollsters looked in Florida when he entered the race, so Harris has a lot of work to do to close the gap in a state where Republicans outnumber Democrats by nearly 1 million.
In Georgia, Trump leads by five points, 47% to 42%, with Kennedy at 3%.
In Michigan, where Gov. Gretchen Whitmer was rumored to be a potential candidate for a historically unprecedented all-female slate on a major party nomination list, Trump led 44% to 41% to Kennedy’s 7%, her best showing of any state in the battleground state poll.
Nevada is a relatively close race compared to other polling battleground states, where Trump leads Harris 45% to 43%. Kennedy remains a sticking point, with just 5% support.
North Carolina has a 3-point advantage for Trump, 46% to 43%, with an additional 4% backing Kennedy. Gov. Roy Cooper is being considered as Harris’ running mate, a possible strategic choice in a state that Trump carried with 1.34% of the vote four years ago.
In the crucial state of Pennsylvania, where Gov. Josh Shapiro is the other Democratic governor being considered as Harris’ running mate, the margin is 46% to 42%. As in many of those states, Kennedy is a single-digit obstacle with 5% support.
Those results, if verified in November, would mark a reversal of fortunes for Democrats. Biden won every state surveyed here in 2020 except Florida and North Carolina.
Again, in seven states surveyed – Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina and Pennsylvania – Trump will receive more Democratic votes than Harris will receive Republican votes in the 2020 election.
In this study, certain issues highlight the strengths of one candidate over the other.
Trump receives higher approval ratings nationwide on the economy, inflation, immigration, crime, national defense and Israel’s military operation in Gaza, while Harris receives higher ratings on health care, reproductive rights and environmental policy.
This is just the latest in a series of polls that show a close race with Trump holding a slight lead in battleground states.
An Emerson College poll conducted July 22-23 found Trump holding slight leads in Arizona (+5), Georgia (+2), Michigan (+1) and Pennsylvania (+2).
And like his poll of Redfield and Wilton, Emerson sees the two candidates in a close race in Wisconsin.
