New polls show Harris outperforming Trump in most battleground states, widening the vice presidential lead.
Good morning, readers of the American Politics Blog. Since she was inaugurated as the Democratic presidential candidate at the end of last month, Kamala Harris Among voters Joe Biden That was never the case when he gave up his bid for a second term. Cook Political Report released a poll showing the vice president in the lead Donald Trump He was tied or tied with Biden in six of the seven battleground states, reversing a previous poll of likely voters in May in which the former president had a lead over Biden in each state. NextGen America It was also revealed yesterday that Ms Harris is beating Mr Trump among voters under 35 by a much larger margin than when Mr Biden was running.
The vice president is not scheduled to campaign today, but her running mate is Tim Waltz They’re speaking in Colorado and Massachusetts as they prepare for next week’s Democratic National Convention in Chicago, where they’ll no doubt have a chance to reassert themselves to even more voters.
Other things we’re looking at today are:
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Last night’s primary election have progressive women in office Ilhan Omar He remains on the path to continuing to represent Minnesota’s constituency, and Wisconsin voters rejected a new Republican attempt to weaken the power of the battleground state’s Democratic governor.
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inflation Consumer prices continued to fall, reaching their highest level since the beginning of 2021, according to just-released consumer price data from the U.S. government.
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Trump Cook is scheduled to speak about his economic plan at 4 p.m. ET in Asheville, North Carolina, a state that hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2008, but Cook’s polling shows Harris with a slight lead.
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Here’s more, from Harris’s deputy campaign manager Quentin Fulks:
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On the heels of our historic launch, we know that the more voters hear during the month of August about the differences between Vice President Harris’ long-standing history of delivering common-sense solutions for the American people – from her early days as a prosecutor to the present – and Donald Trump’s dangerous, extreme and out-of-touch Project 2025 agenda, the more they will know that Vice President Harris is the only candidate fit to lead our country over the next four years. It is precisely through efforts like this that we will break through a crowded media environment early and make clear the choice and stakes of this election for the voters who will decide it.
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In addition to airing in swing states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the ads will air in Ohio, which is expected to vote for Trump in November, but where its Democratic senator Sherrod Brown is running for another term. His victory is essential to Democrats’ hopes of maintaining the chamber.
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Good morning, US politics blog readers. Ever since she took over as the Democratic presidential nominee late last month, it has been apparent that Kamala Harris has the sort of momentum with voters that Joe Biden never had during his abandoned bid for a second term. This morning, the Cook Political Report released polling showing the vice-president ahead of Donald Trump or tied with him in six of the seven battleground states. It was a reversal from when they last surveyed voters in May, and found that the former president led Biden in each one. Progressive youth voter group NextGen America also found yesterday that Harris is beating Trump among voters under 35, and by a much larger margin than when Biden was in the race.
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The vice-president has no campaign events scheduled for today, though her running mate Tim Walz is making speeches in Colorado and Massachusetts. Both are undoubtedly preparing for next week’s Democratic national convention in Chicago, when they’ll have a chance to reintroduce themselves to an even bigger swath of voters.
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Here’s what else we’re watching today:
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Primaries last night put progressive congresswoman Ilhan Omar on the path to continue representing her Minnesota district, and saw voters in Wisconsin reject yet another effort by the GOP to undermine the power of the swing state’s Democratic governor.
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Inflation has continued to fall, reaching a level not seen since early 2021, according to just-released consumer price data from the US government.
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Trump will speak about his economic plans at 4pm ET in Asheville, North Carolina – a state that has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2008, but where the Cook poll says Harris has a small lead.
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Main Events
Speaking of polls, a new poll recently released by the Associated Press finds that Donald Trump has an edge over Kamala Harris on the economy and immigration, but the vice president is ahead of Trump on issues like abortion and racial inequality.
Read more investigationA study conducted at the University of Chicago in collaboration with NORC:
Comparing the candidates, Americans tend to trust Trump to do a better job on issues like the economy and immigration, while they trust Harris more on issues like racial inequality, abortion and health care. Americans are more divided on which candidate would do a better job on crime and the wars in Gaza and Ukraine.
MarchWhen Trump and Biden were their parties’ presumptive nominees, 54% of Republicans said they would be happy if Trump was re-elected in November, while 40% of Democrats said they would be happy if Biden were to return to power. At the time, Democrats were more fearful and angry about Trump’s possible reelection than Republicans were about Biden’s reelection.
The latest polls show that a similar share of Republicans still expect Trump to win the 2024 general election. But Harris has seen expectations rise by about 20 percentage points among Democrats. Two-thirds of Democrats expect Harris to win, compared with 40 percent who expected Biden to win in the March survey. Democrats also remain more anxious and angry at the thought of a return of the Trump administration than Republicans are about a Harris victory.
Forty-seven percent of black adults say they would be happy if Harris became president, compared with 31% of white adults and 30% of Hispanic adults.
Harris campaign plans to spend $90 million on TV ads through August
Since joining the presidential election, Kamala Harris Donations are pouring in. Now her campaign is putting that money to use, announcing this morning a $90 million TV ad push targeted at Midwest media markets. Donald Trump It means “giving up the airwaves.”
More from Harris’ Deputy Campaign Manager Quentin Fulks:
Following this historic announcement, we know that the more voters hear in August about the difference between VP Harris’s long track record of delivering common-sense solutions for the American people, from her time as a prosecutor through to the present, and Donald Trump’s dangerous, radical and unrealistic Project 2025 policies, the more they will know that VP Harris is the only candidate qualified to lead this country for the next four years. It is through efforts like this that we will break through the media congestion early on and make the choices and the stakes of this election clear for the voters who will decide the outcome.
The ad will be shown in battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, as well as in states where Democratic senators are expected to vote for Trump in the November election. Sherrod Brown He is running for another term, and his victory is crucial to Democrats’ hopes of retaining the House.
New polls show Harris outperforming Trump in most battleground states, widening the vice presidential lead.
Good morning, readers of the American Politics Blog. Since she was inaugurated as the Democratic presidential candidate at the end of last month, Kamala Harris Among voters Joe Biden That was never the case when he gave up his bid for a second term. Cook Political Report released a poll showing the vice president in the lead Donald Trump He was tied or tied with Biden in six of the seven battleground states, reversing a previous poll of likely voters in May in which the former president had a lead over Biden in each state. NextGen America It was also revealed yesterday that Ms Harris is beating Mr Trump among voters under 35 by a much larger margin than when Mr Biden was running.
The vice president is not scheduled to campaign today, but her running mate is Tim Waltz They’re speaking in Colorado and Massachusetts, no doubt gearing up for next week’s Democratic National Convention in Chicago, where they’ll have a chance to reassert themselves before even more voters.
Other things we’re looking at today are:
-
Last night’s primary election have progressive women in office Ilhan Omar On their way to continuing to represent Minnesota, Wisconsin voters rejected a new Republican attempt to weaken the power of the battleground state’s Democratic governor.
-
inflation Consumer prices continued to fall, reaching their highest level since the beginning of 2021, according to just-released consumer price data from the U.S. government.
-
Trump Cook is scheduled to speak about his economic plan at 4 p.m. ET in Asheville, North Carolina, a state that hasn’t voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2008, but Cook’s polling shows Harris with a slight lead.
